Global
Warming Costs
by Roger King

Table of Contents
-
Introduction
-
Costs
-
Conclusion
There are several things that must be discussed with Global Warming.
First, of course, it needs to be determined how much man really effects the
climate. Second and something that is little discussed is how do you
spend our limited resources.
The
Warming Debate's Gray Area
by
Investor's Business
Daily October 15, 2007 ...
a group of economists, including four
Nobel Prize winners, reported in 2004, there are better ways to help the planet.
They found that one dollar spent fighting HIV/AIDS produced $40 in social
benefits, and that one dollar spent on fighting malnutrition yielded about $30
in social benefits, but that one dollar fighting to lower CO2 emissions yielded
between 2 and 25 cents in benefits.
Link
Cost Effective
Strategies to Encourage Economic Growth and CO2 Emission Reductions
by Dr. Margo Thorning, Ph.D. March 17, 2007
1 6
billion people have no electricity and
2.2 billion cook with biomass, 1.4 million woman and children die annually as a
result.
Link
A Conversation with
Bjorn Lomborg by Jason Miks : November 30,
2006
-
If you just take the environmental problem first, it's very clear that what
causes by far the majority of deaths is lack clean drinking water and lack
of sanitation. Millions of people are dying each year from this. Also taking
the new WHO estimates of what really kills people, these are the huge
issues.
-
The second biggest problem is indoor air pollution, which probably kills
somewhere between 1 and 3 million people each year, basically because people
are too poor to use good fuels and end up using dung or cardboard or
whatever they can find. Only a very distant third comes the climate change,
which the WHO puts at 150,000 to die right now.
Defeating Global Warming: $45 Trillion
by
Rick Moran June 6, 2008
A report
issued today by the International Energy Agency based in Paris says that in
order to get serious about combating global warming, it will cost the world $45
Trillion: ... The entire US Gross Domestic Product is
only $13 trillion. Throw in the EU and Japan GDP's and you have roughly $30
trillion. I refuse to accept the fact that we are going to have to bankrupt the
planet to solve the global warming problem.
But this is what many global warming advocates want. They wish an end to
industrialized civilization, to the modern world in general. It is the one thing
that unites many of the disparate groups who seek to end the war by any means
necessary.
Link
Poor Nations Demand Climate Money
by Michael Casey at FoxNews April 01, 2008
BANGKOK, Thailand —
Poor countries at a U.N. conference said Tuesday they won't sign
a global warming pact unless industrialized nations guarantee
them billions of dollars needed to adapt to the impact of
climate change.
Link
Congress Picks a Loser
by Dana Joel Gattuso Tuesday, April 15,
2008
The
energy tax bill the House passed in February that slaps $18 billion in taxes on
oil production to fund wind, solar, biofuels, and other “alternative” sources.
...
Two independent studies in the journal
Science report that the clearing of forests, grasslands, and other ecosystems
throughout the world to grow corn, soybean, and other food-for-fuels will double
greenhouse emissions over the next 30 years. Because plants and soil hold
enormous quantities of carbon, destroying existing plants and tilling the soil
releases the stored carbon. ...
The second study by scientists from the
University of Minnesota and The Nature Conservancy estimate that in the United
States, converting the Central grasslands into corn ethanol emits so much carbon
dioxide, it would take almost a century—93 years—to offset the damage.
Link
Can You
Buy a Greener Conscience? by
Alan Zarembo at the Los
Angeles Times September 2, 2007
A United Nations panel recently
concluded that actually reducing emissions to avoid the worst perils of global
warming would cost trillions of dollars a year over the next several decades.
... The race to save the planet from
global warming has spawned a budding industry of middlemen selling
environmental salvation at bargain prices. The companies take millions of
dollars collected from their customers and funnel them into carbon-cutting
projects, such as tree farms in Ecuador, windmills in Minnesota and no-till
fields in Iowa. In return, customers get to claim the reductions, known as
voluntary carbon offsets, as their own. For less than $100 a year, even a
Hummer can be pollution-free -- at least on paper.
... But the industry is
clouded by an approach to carbon accounting that makes it easy to claim
reductions that didn't occur. Many projects that have received money from
offset companies would have reduced emissions by the same amount anyway.
...
Price of feeling good
Without government regulation and mandatory caps
on emissions all that is left to drive offset sales is guilt and marketing.
Offset company’s charge what the market will bear.
Climate
of Fear
by
Richard Lindzen April 12, 2006
... the success of climate alarmism can be counted in the increased federal
spending on climate research from a few hundred million dollars pre-1990 to $1.7
billion today. It can also be seen in heightened spending on solar, wind,
hydrogen, ethanol and clean coal technologies, as well as on other
energy-investment decisions.
Enviro-Harassment by
Investor's Business Daily
March 25, 2008 Global warming
alarmists are using shareholder resolutions — corporate policy proposals brought
by shareholders to a company's annual meeting to be voted on by stockholders —
to force companies to disclose their responses to climate change. ...
Joe Bast, president of
the Heartland Institute and one-time ardent environmentalist, has seen it from
both sides. He summed up the movement in a speech three years ago: "Let me say
it plainly: The environmental movement has been taken over by anti-capitalist
radicals who are using it to wage war against capitalism and campaign for
liberal Democrats," he said. "Protecting the environment is now number three, or
lower, on their list of priorities."
Sounds right. Companies must take
time from managing their businesses to deal with these shareholder resolutions.
Profits suffer, and everyone's poorer — all to satisfy a small but vocal
minority intent on forcing companies to deal with purely hypothetical threats
lying a century into the future. The word for this? Spiteful.
Link
Cap-and-trade fraud by Arthur Laffer And Wayne
Winegarden, Financial Post October 02, 2007
The
costs of reducing GHGs through cap-andtrade regulations are not trivial. If
implemented, cap-and-trade policies would add significant costs to production
and would likely have a severe negative impact on long-term U.S. growth, an
amount we estimate at US$10,800 per family.
Link
Countries Missing Kyoto Targets, Taxpayers to Foot the Bill
by
Noel Sheppard November 30, 2007
Many countries that are part of the
Kyoto Protocol are going to dramatically overshoot their greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions limits. … Japan, Italy and Spain face fines of as much as $33
billion combined for failing to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions as promised
under the Kyoto treaty.
Link
Political Crusaders
by
Thomas Sowell Wednesday, April 16, 2008
With the CFL light
bulb, the initial cost -- several times that of a regular light bulb -- is only
the financial cost. A bigger problem is what to do if a CFL light bulb breaks.
You are supposed to shut off all air conditioners or heaters, to keep them from
circulating mercury vapor from the broken CFL. You are supposed to open windows
and doors to air out the place. Pregnant women and small children
are supposed to leave the area while the mess is being cleaned up by someone
else, wearing a dust mask and gloves.
Link
Climate Is a Risky Issue for Democrats
by
Juliet Eilperin Washington Post Staff Writer November 6, 2007
According to energy expert Tracy Terry's analysis of a
recent
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
study, under the scenario of an 80 percent reduction in emissions from 1990
levels, by 2015 Americans could be paying 30 percent more for natural gas in
their homes and even more for electricity. At the same time, the cost of coal
could quadruple and crude oil prices could rise by an additional $24 a barrel.
Link
Lifting the global warming gag order
by Vin Suprynowicz
Feb. 25, 2007
Spiralling energy costs fueled by green
hysteria "have caused the loss of 100,000 jobs in the UK over 18 months," report
Doctors for Disaster Preparedness, again citing techcentralstation.com. Al
Gore's anti-global warming plan would leave the average person 30 percent poorer
by 2100, according to the Jan. 18 Wall Street Journal.
In the book "Unstoppable Global
Warming -- Every 1,500 Years," authors S. Fred Singer and Dennis T. Avery point
out that scrapping every car, truck and SUV in America would reduce greenhouse
gas emissions by only about 2 percent. Meantime, merely extinguishing all the
coal deposit fires that continue to burn unchecked around the world would reduce
those emissions by 2 to 3 percent. Which is a more sensible thing to try?
Link
How
Much Will It Cost to Fix the Climate? The Numbers
Vary
by Brad Knickerbocker
March 30, 2008
The National
Association of Manufacturers and the American
Council for Capital Formation recently commissioned
its own economic study of the Lieberman-Warner bill.
Among its findings: a gross domestic product loss of
$151 billion to $210 billion in 2020 and $631
billion to $669 billion per year in 2030; 1.2
million to 1.8 million fewer jobs in 2020, and 3
million to 4 million fewer in 2030; annual household
income losses of $739 to $2,927 in 2020 and $4,022
to $6,752 in 2030; electricity price increases of 28
percent to 33 percent by 2020 and 101 percent to 129
percent by 2030; and gasoline price increases of 20
percent to 69 percent by 2020 and 77 percent to 145
percent by 2030. Link
How Much Will It Cost to Fix the Climate? The Numbers
Vary by Brad
Knickerbocker of ABC News March 30, 2008
The National
Association of Manufacturers and the American Council
for Capital Formation recently commissioned its own
economic study of the Lieberman-Warner bill. Among
its findings: a gross domestic product loss of $151
billion to $210 billion in 2020 and $631 billion to $669
billion per year in 2030; 1.2 million to 1.8 million
fewer jobs in 2020, and 3 million to 4 million fewer in
2030; annual household income losses of $739 to $2,927
in 2020 and $4,022 to $6,752 in 2030; electricity price
increases of 28 percent to 33 percent by 2020 and 101
percent to 129 percent by 2030; and gasoline price
increases of 20 percent to 69 percent by 2020 and 77
percent to 145 percent by 2030.
Link
Lifting the global warming gag order by
Vin Suprynowicz Feb. 25, 2007
In the book "Unstoppable Global Warming -- Every
1,500 Years," authors S. Fred Singer and Dennis T. Avery point
out that scrapping every car, truck and SUV in America would reduce greenhouse
gas emissions by only about 2 percent. Meantime, merely extinguishing all the
coal deposit fires that continue to burn unchecked around the world would reduce
those emissions by 2 to 3 percent. Which is a more sensible thing to try?
Link
Heat Capacity, Time
Constant, and Sensitivity of Earth’s Climate System by Stephen E.
Schwartz September 17, 2007
“Effectively, this (new study) means that the global economy will spend
trillions of dollars trying to avoid a warming of ~ 1.0 K by 2100 A.D.” Dr.
Wilson wrote in a note to the Senate Environment & Public Works Committee on
August 19, 2007. Wilson, a former operations astronomer at the Hubble Space
Telescope Institute in Baltimore MD, was referring to the trillions of dollars
that would be spent under such international global warming treaties like the
Kyoto Protocol. “Previously, I have indicated that the widely accepted values
for temperature increase associated with a doubling of CO2 were far too high
i.e. 2 – 4.5 Kelvin. This new peer-reviewed paper claims a value of 1.1 +/- 0.5
K increase for a doubling of CO2,” he added.
Link
Journalist Conference Takes Left Turn on Climate Change
by
Jeff Poor of BMI 10/5/2007
But even the highly-respected former Federal Reserve chairman and economist Alan
Greenspan questioned in his book, “The Age of Turbulence,” the validity of a cap
and trade system’s impact as an effective means to fight global warming. “Yet
as an economist, I have grave doubts that international agreements imposing a
globalized so-called cap-and-trade system on CO2 emissions will prove feasible,”
Greenspan wrote. “There is no effective way to meaningfully reduce emissions
without negatively impacting a large part of an economy,” Greenspan wrote. “Net,
it is a tax. If the cap is low enough to make a meaningful inroad into CO2
emissions, permits will become expensive and large numbers of companies will
experience cost increases that make them less competitive. Jobs will be lost and
real incomes of workers constrained.”
Link
Kyoto sinks Europe by Benny Peiser at the
Financial Post January 09, 2007
Carbon trading is the EU's principal strategy
for meeting its Kyoto target of reducing CO2 emissions by 8% by 2012. The scheme
was launched two years ago in the hope that it would achieve what more than 10
years of political commandeering had failed: significant reductions in CO2
emissions. Instead, year after year, most EU countries continue to increase
their greenhouse-gas emissions. Rather than proving its effectiveness, the
trading system has pushed electricity prices even higher while energy-intensive
companies are forced to close down, cut jobs, or pass on the costs to
consumers. Although Europe's energy utilities receive carbon permits free of
charge, they have passed on the market price to industry and private consumers.
In consequence, Germany's energy costs rose by almost ?6-billion ($9.2-billion)
in 2005, a price tag that is expected to double in the next couple of years. The
cunning strategy ensured that power companies reaped billions in windfall
profits. And yet without the massive sweetener, Brussels could not have gained
the support of industry for this risky scheme. As the price for electricity,
goods and services continue to rise and Asian competitors catch up with Europe's
lethargic economy, the public is beginning to question Brussel's unilateral
climate policy. According to a recent EU poll, more than 60% of Europeans are
unwilling to sacrifice their standard of living in the name of green causes. As
long as advocates of Kyoto got away with claims that their policies would not
inflict any significant costs, many people were tempted to believe in improbable
promises. Now that the true cost of Kyoto is starting to hurt European pockets,
the erstwhile green consensus is unravelling.
Link
Trade-Offs in Allocating Allowances for CO2 Emissions
by Congressional Budget Office April
25, 2007
The merit of a cap-and-trade program is
that, like a tax on CO2
emissions, it could motivate businesses
and households to reduce emissions in the least costly way. Such programs have
been used successfully in the United States to limit the cost of reducing
emissions of other air pollutants, such as lead in gasoline and nitrogen oxides
and sulfur dioxide from electricity generators.
...
"Regardless of
how the allowances were distributed, most of the cost of meeting a cap on CO2
emissions would be borne by consumers, who would face persistently higher prices
for products such as electricity and gasoline. Those price increases would be
regressive in that poorer households would bear a larger burden relative to
their income than wealthier households would."
...
the
Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that the price rises resulting from
a 15 percent cut in CO2
emissions would cost the average
household in the lowest one-fifth (quintile) of the income distribution about
3.3 percent of its average income. By comparison, a household in the top
quintile would pay about 1.7 percent of its average income
...
Job
losses could occur throughout the economy but would probably be especially large
(in percentage terms) in industries associated with high-carbon fuels.
... A
cap-and-trade program for CO2
emissions would tend to increase
government spending and decrease revenues.
Link
California gears up for car emissions fight by
Bobby Carmichael, USA TODAY October 28, 2007 California
plans to sue the Environmental Protection Agency this week for delaying a
decision over whether to let the state aggressively reduce car and truck
tailpipe emissions. The lawsuit's outcome could affect not only the California
law aimed at cutting greenhouse gases but also the ability of other states to
take similar actions.
Link
Climate Chaos, eco-ideology and economic reality
by Paul Driessen in CFP February 6, 2007
...
alarmists now
say we must slash total global emissions by 60-80% by
2050, to keep CO2 at a "safe" level and "stabilize" a
climate that has never been stable. If poor developing
nations remain exempt (as they should), developed
countries will have to go virtually carbon-free to reach
this goal. The impact would be catastrophic. Such
actions would change life as we know it. They would give
alarmist politicians, bureaucrats and activists a
leading role in every housing, heating, cooling,
transportation, manufacturing, agriculturall,
business and consumer decision. They would
terminate millions of jobs, cost hundreds of billions of
dollars, and send living standards tumbling, while
giving every US citizen a "carbon allowance" akin to
what other parts of the world now "enjoy" (2.3 tons of
CO2 per year in Cuba or 1.2 in India, versus our current
19.8 or Canada's 17.9). The elderly and minority
workers and families would be especially hard hit.
Deaths from winter cold and summer heat waves
would soar, as energy prices rise and heating and
air-conditioning become luxury items.
Link
Global Warming--the science is settled The
real climate change catastrophe
by Paul Driessen November 1, 2006
Government and private studies calculate
that the Kyoto Protocol would cost the US up
to $348 billion in 2012, and average
American families would pay an extra $2,700
annually for energy and consumer goods. In
US minority communities, concludes another,
the climate treaty would destroy 1.3 million
jobs and "substantially affect" standards of
living. Globally, Kyoto carries a $1
trillion annual price tag, in regulatory
bills, higher energy costs and lost
productivity, according to economist Bjorn
Lomborg. That's several times what it would
cost to provide the world with clean
drinking water and sanitation--which would
prevent millions of deaths annually from
intestinal diseases. Over 2 billion of
the Earth's citizens--including 95% of
Africans--still do not have electricity.
That means no lights, refrigerators, stoves,
radios, televisions or computers; no modern
homes, hospitals, schools, offices or
factories. Instead, people breathe polluted
smoke from wood and dung fires, and die by
the millions from lung diseases.
Link
Ethanol And Hunger
by
Investor's Business Daily April
11, 2008
The
high cost of corn, wheat, soybeans and other
basics of the world's diet could soon start
bringing down governments. It already
has set back the fight to reduce global
poverty. World Bank Chairman Robert Zoellick
estimates that "the effect of this food
crisis on poverty reduction worldwide is on
the order of seven lost years." ...
a
huge swath of the U.S. corn crop that would
otherwise go to food for people and animals
is diverted to ethanol.
... high-priced
corn makes food costlier in all the
supermarket aisles, from baked goods and
cereal to meat and soft drinks.
Ethanol demand also raises the cost of other
grains, such as soybeans, by crimping
supply; it shifts land to corn production
and leaves that much less for other crops.
...
Now
the world's poor must struggle, as they
haven't in years, to pay for their next
meal. Zoellick says the demand for ethanol
and other biofuels is a "significant
contributor" to the food crisis. He's part
of a rising chorus of critics (including
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown) who
want more scrutiny of how the biofuels push
affects food costs.
Link
The price of global warming
by
Henry Lamb July 23, 2007
Link
What if Man Made CO2 stopped 100 years ago
– It is widely agreed that the
global mean temperature has increased .07 degree C, over
the last century. It is also widely agreed that carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere has increased from about 280
parts per million (ppm) to nearly 380 ppm.
Al Gore and other want us back at the carbon dioxide
levels of 1907 which were 280 parts per million.
What would life be like if we could role the clocks
back.
-
Public transportation could not expand.
Nashville's transportation system suggests how difficult public transportation
was in 1907. No Greyhound buses - ever. No new trains, unless an existing train
was taken out of service. No air travel at all.
-
In 1907, the Ford Motor Company had been in
business for four years, and had sold fewer than 10,000 cars to the 87-million
people in the U.S. The revolutionary "Model T" was not introduced until 1908,
but remember, no new cars could be put into service unless an existing car was
taken out of service: no increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. In 1907,
the GDP was $34 billion and the per capita GDP was $391.00, about half the cost
of a new Ford.
-
There could be no new factories, except to
replace existing carbon-spewing factories. Neither plastic nor refrigeration
would have been available, so they would never have known what they were
missing. Life expectancy was 47.6 years.
-
The people who lived in 1907 had a wonderful
life, compared with prior generations. Why would they hesitate to stop growth by
limiting energy use to current levels, in order to save the planet from
catastrophe? After all, the collective wisdom of the nation's leaders, and the
scientific community all agreed that the science was settled, and disaster would
befall the planet unless they held carbon dioxide in the atmosphere at 280 ppm.
-
Today's collective wisdom of the nation's
leaders want, not simply to stop the increase of carbon in the atmosphere, but
to actually reduce it to levels that existed before 1990. This would require a
roll-back of energy use of as much as 60%, according to some estimates.
-
Using the value of a dollar in 2000 as a basis,
per capita GDP in 1907 was $5,649, compared to $37,232 in 2005. This means that
even with population expanding from 87-million to nearly 300-million over the
period, the per capita GDP increased $4,512 every time the global mean
temperature increased one-tenth of one degree.
-
Had our current collection of national leaders
been in power in 1907, they could have spared us this horrible fate. Ninety-two
percent of the nation's households and buildings would not be puffing carbon
dioxide into the atmosphere, because they would not be using any electricity.
-
There would certainly be no traffic problems in
any of our cities, except, perhaps, dodging the exhaust from the two-and-four
real-horsepower conveyances.
-
On the other hand, some of us think that, even
if humans caused every bit of the .07-degree increase in temperature (which they
didn't), it was a very small price to pay for the magnificent progress that has
been made since 1907. Some of us are happy that by 2001, life expectancy
increased to 77.2. Some of us are thankful that the current crop of collective
Washington leaders did not live in 1907. It is too bad that these people are now
in a position to inflict their short-sighted ignorance on our children and
future generations.
Kiwi Climatology
From Today's Wall Street Journal Asia
May 13, 2008
Under Kyoto, New Zealand
committed to reduce its emissions to 1990 levels, in effect a 30% reduction from
expected emissions in 2012.
...
The cost, for farmers and
industry alike, is likely to be prohibitive. The New Zealand Institute of
Economic Research, an independent consulting firm, recently estimated that the
government's plan would result in 22,000 job losses by 2012, or 1% of today's
employment. That translates into NZ$4.6 billion ($3.6 billion) annually in lost
GDP, or a NZ$3,000 cut in each household's annual spending.
Link
Billions wasted on UN climate programme by John Vidal
May 26, 2008 Billions of
pounds are being wasted in paying industries in developing countries to reduce
climate change emissions, according to two analyses of the UN's carbon
offsetting programme. ...
A working paper from two
senior Stanford University academics examined more than 3,000
projects applying for or already granted up to $10bn of credits
from the UN's CDM funds over the next four years, and concluded
that the majority should not be considered for assistance. "They
would be built anyway," says David Victor, law professor at the
Californian university. "It looks like between one and two
thirds of all the total CDM offsets do not represent actual
emission cuts."
Link
Environmental Group Sues to Block Oil Refinery Expansion
by
Susan Jones, Senior Editor at CNS News
July 10,
2008 An
environmental group on Wednesday filed a lawsuit intended to stop the
expansion of a BP oil refinery in Whiting, Indiana. A shortage of oil
refining capacity is often mentioned as one reason for soaring gasoline
prices.
The Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) is challenging air permits
granted to the refinery by the State of Indiana. It’s part of the “ongoing
fight against excessive pollution in northwest Indiana and Chicago,” the
NRDC said in a news release.
Link
Copenhagen
Consensus 2008
Over two years, more than 50 economists
have worked to find the best solutions to ten of the world’s biggest challenges.
During the last week of May, an expert panel of 8 top-economists, including 5
Nobel Laureates, sat down to assess the research. The
ranked list:
A prioritized list highlighting the potential of 30 specific solutions to combat
some of the biggest challenges facing the world.
- Combating malnutrition in
the 140 million children who are undernourished reached the number one
spot. ... Providing
micronutrients for 80% of the 140 million children who lack essential
vitamins in the form of vitamin A capsules and a course of zinc
supplements would cost just $60 million per year, according to the
analysis. More importantly, this action holds yearly benefits of more
than $1 billion.
Link
- Number two would be the Doha
round of the World Free Trade Development Agenda. That is the expansion
of free trade. Because free trade leads to economic development and
that’s what the poor need more then anything else.
Link
-
Micronutrient fortification (iron and salt iodization)
Link
-
Expanded immunization coverage for children
Link
Twenty Ninth is Global Warming The reason this is so low it
that the costs far outweigh the projected good that comes from CO2 reduction.
Further, every dollar that is spent on fighting Global Warming can not be spend
on these other actions. Personally this is sad because fighting
Global Warming is presented to us as saving the poor in the future. Sadly,
the dollars currently spent for this fight are killing and hurting the poor and
children right now since those dollars can't be spend on current needs.
Even worse things like Ethanol has run up food prices a great deal also starving
the poor.
A Modest Sacrifice for the Climate
by
David
Warren February 17, 2008
the summary of
a Japanese study on the economic implications of the "global warming"
fraud. Noting the goal, "seriously" stated by the Group of Eight, to cut
world CO2 emissions in half by the year 2050, a couple of techies in
Japan (Norichika Kanie of the Tokyo Institute of Technology and Yasuaki
Hijioka at the National Institute for Environmental Studies) sat down
with their calculators, and coolly worked out what emissions reductions
will be required to meet this goal, on an equal per capita basis, around
the planet.
The 88 per cent is the figure
for North America. The Europeans get off relatively easily: they only
have to shut down 83 per cent of their economy; the Japanese 85 per
cent. Only 35 per cent of the Chinese economy will have to go.
Link