Global Warming Costs  by Roger King  

Table of Contents

  1. Introduction

  2. Costs

  3. Conclusion

Introduction

There are several things that must be discussed with Global Warming.  First, of course, it needs to be determined how much man really effects the climate.   Second and something that is little discussed is how do you spend our limited resources.

The Warming Debate's Gray Area  by Investor's Business Daily   October 15, 2007     ... a group of economists, including four Nobel Prize winners, reported in 2004, there are better ways to help the planet.   They found that one dollar spent fighting HIV/AIDS produced $40 in social benefits, and that one dollar spent on fighting malnutrition yielded about $30 in social benefits, but that one dollar fighting to lower CO2 emissions yielded between 2 and 25 cents in benefits.   Link

Cost Effective Strategies to Encourage Economic Growth and CO2 Emission Reductions  by Dr. Margo Thorning, Ph.D.  March 17, 2007   1 6  billion people have no electricity and 2.2 billion cook with biomass, 1.4 million woman and children die annually as a result.   Link

A Conversation with Bjorn Lomborg   by Jason Miks :  November 30,  2006 

  1. If you just take the environmental problem first, it's very clear that what causes by far the majority of deaths is lack clean drinking water and lack of sanitation. Millions of people are dying each year from this. Also taking the new WHO estimates of what really kills people, these are the huge issues.
  2. The second biggest problem is indoor air pollution, which probably kills somewhere between 1 and 3 million people each year, basically because people are too poor to use good fuels and end up using dung or cardboard or whatever they can find. Only a very distant third comes the climate change, which the WHO puts at 150,000 to die right now.

 

Costs

Defeating Global Warming: $45 Trillion  by Rick Moran  June 6, 2008   A report issued today by the International Energy Agency based in Paris says that in order to get serious about combating global warming, it will cost the world $45 Trillion:   ...   The entire US Gross Domestic Product is only $13 trillion. Throw in the EU and Japan GDP's and you have roughly $30 trillion. I refuse to accept the fact that we are going to have to bankrupt the planet to solve the global warming problem.

But this is what many global warming advocates want. They wish an end to industrialized civilization, to the modern world in general. It is the one thing that unites many of the disparate groups who seek to end the war by any means necessary.
  Link

Poor Nations Demand Climate Money    by Michael Casey at FoxNews   April 01, 2008   BANGKOK, Thailand —  Poor countries at a U.N. conference said Tuesday they won't sign a global warming pact unless industrialized nations guarantee them billions of dollars needed to adapt to the impact of climate change.   Link

Congress Picks a Loser  by Dana Joel Gattuso  Tuesday, April 15, 2008 The energy tax bill the House passed in February that slaps $18 billion in taxes on oil production to fund wind, solar, biofuels, and other “alternative” sources.  ...  Two independent studies in the journal Science report that the clearing of forests, grasslands, and other ecosystems throughout the world to grow corn, soybean, and other food-for-fuels will double greenhouse emissions over the next 30 years. Because plants and soil hold enormous quantities of carbon, destroying existing plants and tilling the soil releases the stored carbon.  ...  The second study by scientists from the University of Minnesota and The Nature Conservancy estimate that in the United States, converting the Central grasslands into corn ethanol emits so much carbon dioxide, it would take almost a century—93 years—to offset the damage.   Link

Can You Buy a Greener Conscience? by Alan Zarembo  at the Los Angeles Times  September 2, 2007  A United Nations panel recently concluded that actually reducing emissions to avoid the worst perils of global warming would cost trillions of dollars a year over the next several decades.   ...     The race to save the planet from global warming has spawned a budding industry of middlemen selling environmental salvation at bargain prices.  The companies take millions of dollars collected from their customers and funnel them into carbon-cutting projects, such as tree farms in Ecuador, windmills in Minnesota and no-till fields in Iowa.  In return, customers get to claim the reductions, known as voluntary carbon offsets, as their own. For less than $100 a year, even a Hummer can be pollution-free -- at least on paper.  ...     But the industry is clouded by an approach to carbon accounting that makes it easy to claim reductions that didn't occur. Many projects that have received money from offset companies would have reduced emissions by the same amount anyway.  ...      Price of feeling good Without government regulation and mandatory caps on emissions all that is left to drive offset sales is guilt and marketing. Offset company’s charge what the market will bear.  

Climate of Fear  by Richard Lindzen  April 12, 2006     ... the success of climate alarmism can be counted in the increased federal spending on climate research from a few hundred million dollars pre-1990 to $1.7 billion today. It can also be seen in heightened spending on solar, wind, hydrogen, ethanol and clean coal technologies, as well as on other energy-investment decisions.

Enviro-Harassment by Investor's Business Daily March 25, 2008 Global warming alarmists are using shareholder resolutions — corporate policy proposals brought by shareholders to a company's annual meeting to be voted on by stockholders — to force companies to disclose their responses to climate change.  ...   

Joe Bast, president of the Heartland Institute and one-time ardent environmentalist, has seen it from both sides. He summed up the movement in a speech three years ago: "Let me say it plainly: The environmental movement has been taken over by anti-capitalist radicals who are using it to wage war against capitalism and campaign for liberal Democrats," he said. "Protecting the environment is now number three, or lower, on their list of priorities."

Sounds right. Companies must take time from managing their businesses to deal with these shareholder resolutions. Profits suffer, and everyone's poorer — all to satisfy a small but vocal minority intent on forcing companies to deal with purely hypothetical threats lying a century into the future. The word for this? Spiteful.   Link

Cap-and-trade fraud  by Arthur Laffer And Wayne Winegarden, Financial Post   October 02, 2007   The costs of reducing GHGs through cap-andtrade regulations are not trivial. If implemented, cap-and-trade policies would add significant costs to production and would likely have a severe negative impact on long-term U.S. growth, an amount we estimate at US$10,800 per family.   Link

Countries Missing Kyoto Targets, Taxpayers to Foot the Bill  by Noel Sheppard  November 30, 2007  Many countries that are part of the Kyoto Protocol are going to dramatically overshoot their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions limits.   …  Japan, Italy and Spain face fines of as much as $33 billion combined for failing to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions as promised under the Kyoto treaty.   Link

Political Crusaders  by Thomas Sowell  Wednesday, April 16, 2008   With the CFL light bulb, the initial cost -- several times that of a regular light bulb -- is only the financial cost. A bigger problem is what to do if a CFL light bulb breaks.  You are supposed to shut off all air conditioners or heaters, to keep them from circulating mercury vapor from the broken CFL. You are supposed to open windows and doors to air out the place.   Pregnant women and small children are supposed to leave the area while the mess is being cleaned up by someone else, wearing a dust mask and gloves.   Link

Climate Is a Risky Issue for Democrats by Juliet Eilperin Washington Post Staff Writer November 6, 2007   According to energy expert Tracy Terry's analysis of a recent Massachusetts Institute of Technology study, under the scenario of an 80 percent reduction in emissions from 1990 levels, by 2015 Americans could be paying 30 percent more for natural gas in their homes and even more for electricity. At the same time, the cost of coal could quadruple and crude oil prices could rise by an additional $24 a barrel.   Link

Lifting the global warming gag order by Vin Suprynowicz Feb. 25, 2007   Spiralling energy costs fueled by green hysteria "have caused the loss of 100,000 jobs in the UK over 18 months," report Doctors for Disaster Preparedness, again citing techcentralstation.com. Al Gore's anti-global warming plan would leave the average person 30 percent poorer by 2100, according to the Jan. 18 Wall Street Journal.

In the book "Unstoppable Global Warming -- Every 1,500 Years," authors S. Fred Singer and Dennis T. Avery point out that scrapping every car, truck and SUV in America would reduce greenhouse gas emissions by only about 2 percent. Meantime, merely extinguishing all the coal deposit fires that continue to burn unchecked around the world would reduce those emissions by 2 to 3 percent. Which is a more sensible thing to try? Link

How Much Will It Cost to Fix the Climate? The Numbers Vary  by Brad Knickerbocker  March 30, 2008    The National Association of Manufac­turers and the American Council for Capital Formation recently commissioned its own economic study of the Lieberman-Warner bill.   Among its findings: a gross domestic product loss of $151 billion to $210 billion in 2020 and $631 billion to $669 billion per year in 2030; 1.2 million to 1.8 million fewer jobs in 2020, and 3 million to 4 million fewer in 2030; annual household income losses of $739 to $2,927 in 2020 and $4,022 to $6,752 in 2030; electricity price increases of 28 percent to 33 percent by 2020 and 101 percent to 129 percent by 2030; and gasoline price increases of 20 percent to 69 percent by 2020 and 77 percent to 145 percent by 2030.   Link

How Much Will It Cost to Fix the Climate? The Numbers Vary   by Brad Knickerbocker of ABC News March 30, 2008  The National Association of Manufac­turers and the American Council for Capital Formation recently commissioned its own economic study of the Lieberman-Warner bill.  Among its findings: a gross domestic product loss of $151 billion to $210 billion in 2020 and $631 billion to $669 billion per year in 2030; 1.2 million to 1.8 million fewer jobs in 2020, and 3 million to 4 million fewer in 2030; annual household income losses of $739 to $2,927 in 2020 and $4,022 to $6,752 in 2030; electricity price increases of 28 percent to 33 percent by 2020 and 101 percent to 129 percent by 2030; and gasoline price increases of 20 percent to 69 percent by 2020 and 77 percent to 145 percent by 2030.   Link

Lifting the global warming gag order  by Vin Suprynowicz  Feb. 25, 2007  In the book "Unstoppable Global Warming -- Every 1,500 Years," authors S. Fred Singer and Dennis T. Avery point out that scrapping every car, truck and SUV in America would reduce greenhouse gas emissions by only about 2 percent. Meantime, merely extinguishing all the coal deposit fires that continue to burn unchecked around the world would reduce those emissions by 2 to 3 percent. Which is a more sensible thing to try?  Link

Heat Capacity, Time Constant, and Sensitivity of Earth’s Climate System by Stephen E. Schwartz  September 17, 2007  “Effectively, this (new study) means that the global economy will spend trillions of dollars trying to avoid a warming of ~ 1.0 K by 2100 A.D.” Dr. Wilson wrote in a note to the Senate Environment & Public Works Committee on August 19, 2007.  Wilson, a former operations astronomer at the Hubble Space Telescope Institute in Baltimore MD, was referring to the trillions of dollars that would be spent under such international global warming treaties like the Kyoto Protocol.  “Previously, I have indicated that the widely accepted values for temperature increase associated with a doubling of CO2 were far too high i.e. 2 – 4.5 Kelvin. This new peer-reviewed paper claims a value of 1.1 +/- 0.5 K increase for a doubling of CO2,” he added.  Link  

Journalist Conference Takes Left Turn on Climate Change  by Jeff Poor  of BMI   10/5/2007   But even the highly-respected former Federal Reserve chairman and economist Alan Greenspan questioned in his book, “The Age of Turbulence,” the validity of a cap and trade system’s impact as an effective means to fight global warming.  “Yet as an economist, I have grave doubts that international agreements imposing a globalized so-called cap-and-trade system on CO2 emissions will prove feasible,” Greenspan wrote. “There is no effective way to meaningfully reduce emissions without negatively impacting a large part of an economy,” Greenspan wrote. “Net, it is a tax. If the cap is low enough to make a meaningful inroad into CO2 emissions, permits will become expensive and large numbers of companies will experience cost increases that make them less competitive. Jobs will be lost and real incomes of workers constrained.”   Link

Kyoto sinks Europe  by Benny Peiser at the Financial Post  January 09, 2007 Carbon trading is the EU's principal strategy for meeting its Kyoto target of reducing CO2 emissions by 8% by 2012. The scheme was launched two years ago in the hope that it would achieve what more than 10 years of political commandeering had failed: significant reductions in CO2 emissions. Instead, year after year, most EU countries continue to increase their greenhouse-gas emissions. Rather than proving its effectiveness, the trading system has pushed electricity prices even higher while energy-intensive companies are forced to close down, cut jobs, or pass on the costs to consumers.  Although Europe's energy utilities receive carbon permits free of charge, they have passed on the market price to industry and private consumers. In consequence, Germany's energy costs rose by almost ?6-billion ($9.2-billion) in 2005, a price tag that is expected to double in the next couple of years. The cunning strategy ensured that power companies reaped billions in windfall profits. And yet without the massive sweetener, Brussels could not have gained the support of industry for this risky scheme.  As the price for electricity, goods and services continue to rise and Asian competitors catch up with Europe's lethargic economy, the public is beginning to question Brussel's unilateral climate policy. According to a recent EU poll, more than 60% of Europeans are unwilling to sacrifice their standard of living in the name of green causes. As long as advocates of Kyoto got away with claims that their policies would not inflict any significant costs, many people were tempted to believe in improbable promises. Now that the true cost of Kyoto is starting to hurt European pockets, the erstwhile green consensus is unravelling.   Link

Trade-Offs in Allocating Allowances for CO2 Emissions by  Congressional Budget Office  April 25, 2007   The merit of a cap-and-trade program is that, like a tax on CO2 emissions, it could motivate businesses and households to reduce emissions in the least costly way. Such programs have been used successfully in the United States to limit the cost of reducing emissions of other air pollutants, such as lead in gasoline and nitrogen oxides and sulfur dioxide from electricity generators.   ...   "Regardless of how the allowances were distributed, most of the cost of meeting a cap on CO2 emissions would be borne by consumers, who would face persistently higher prices for products such as electricity and gasoline. Those price increases would be regressive in that poorer households would bear a larger burden relative to their income than wealthier households would."   ...  the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that the price rises resulting from a 15 percent cut in CO2 emissions would cost the average household in the lowest one-fifth (quintile) of the income distribution about 3.3 percent of its average income. By comparison, a household in the top quintile would pay about 1.7 percent of its average income   ...  Job losses could occur throughout the economy but would probably be especially large (in percentage terms) in industries associated with high-carbon fuels.   ...   A cap-and-trade program for CO2 emissions would tend to increase government spending and decrease revenues.       Link

California gears up for car emissions fight   by Bobby Carmichael, USA TODAY October 28, 2007  California plans to sue the Environmental Protection Agency this week for delaying a decision over whether to let the state aggressively reduce car and truck tailpipe emissions. The lawsuit's outcome could affect not only the California law aimed at cutting greenhouse gases but also the ability of other states to take similar actions.   Link

Climate Chaos, eco-ideology and economic reality   by Paul Driessen in CFP  February 6, 2007     ...  alarmists now say we must slash total global emissions by 60-80% by 2050, to keep CO2 at a "safe" level and "stabilize" a climate that has never been stable. If poor developing nations remain exempt (as they should), developed countries will have to go virtually carbon-free to reach this goal.  The impact would be catastrophic. Such actions would change life as we know it. They would give alarmist politicians, bureaucrats and activists a leading role in every housing, heating, cooling, transportation, manufacturing, agriculturall, business and consumer decision.  They would terminate millions of jobs, cost hundreds of billions of dollars, and send living standards tumbling, while giving every US citizen a "carbon allowance" akin to what other parts of the world now "enjoy" (2.3 tons of CO2 per year in Cuba or 1.2 in India, versus our current 19.8 or Canada's 17.9).  The elderly and minority workers and families would be especially hard hit. Deaths from winter cold and summer heat waves would soar, as energy prices rise and heating and air-conditioning become luxury items.    Link

Global Warming--the science is settled The real climate change catastrophe  by Paul Driessen  November 1, 2006  Government and private studies calculate that the Kyoto Protocol would cost the US up to $348 billion in 2012, and average American families would pay an extra $2,700 annually for energy and consumer goods. In US minority communities, concludes another, the climate treaty would destroy 1.3 million jobs and "substantially affect" standards of living.  Globally, Kyoto carries a $1 trillion annual price tag, in regulatory bills, higher energy costs and lost productivity, according to economist Bjorn Lomborg. That's several times what it would cost to provide the world with clean drinking water and sanitation--which would prevent millions of deaths annually from intestinal diseases.  Over 2 billion of the Earth's citizens--including 95% of Africans--still do not have electricity. That means no lights, refrigerators, stoves, radios, televisions or computers; no modern homes, hospitals, schools, offices or factories. Instead, people breathe polluted smoke from wood and dung fires, and die by the millions from lung diseases.    Link

Ethanol And Hunger  by Investor's Business Daily  April 11, 2008  The high cost of corn, wheat, soybeans and other basics of the world's diet could soon start bringing down governments.  It already has set back the fight to reduce global poverty. World Bank Chairman Robert Zoellick estimates that "the effect of this food crisis on poverty reduction worldwide is on the order of seven lost years."  ...   a huge swath of the U.S. corn crop that would otherwise go to food for people and animals is diverted to ethanol.  ...   high-priced corn makes food costlier in all the supermarket aisles, from baked goods and cereal to meat and soft drinks.   Ethanol demand also raises the cost of other grains, such as soybeans, by crimping supply; it shifts land to corn production and leaves that much less for other crops. ...   Now the world's poor must struggle, as they haven't in years, to pay for their next meal. Zoellick says the demand for ethanol and other biofuels is a "significant contributor" to the food crisis. He's part of a rising chorus of critics (including British Prime Minister Gordon Brown) who want more scrutiny of how the biofuels push affects food costs.   Link

The price of global warming   by Henry Lamb July 23, 2007   Link   What if Man Made CO2 stopped 100 years agoIt is widely agreed that the global mean temperature has increased .07 degree C, over the last century.  It is also widely agreed that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased from about 280 parts per million (ppm) to nearly 380 ppm.  Al Gore and other want us back at the carbon dioxide levels of 1907 which were 280 parts per million.   What would life be like if we could role the clocks back.

  1. Public transportation could not expand. Nashville's transportation system suggests how difficult public transportation was in 1907. No Greyhound buses - ever. No new trains, unless an existing train was taken out of service. No air travel at all.

  2. In 1907, the Ford Motor Company had been in business for four years, and had sold fewer than 10,000 cars to the 87-million people in the U.S. The revolutionary "Model T" was not introduced until 1908, but remember, no new cars could be put into service unless an existing car was taken out of service: no increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. In 1907, the GDP was $34 billion and the per capita GDP was $391.00, about half the cost of a new Ford.

  3. There could be no new factories, except to replace existing carbon-spewing factories. Neither plastic nor refrigeration would have been available, so they would never have known what they were missing. Life expectancy was 47.6 years.

  4. The people who lived in 1907 had a wonderful life, compared with prior generations. Why would they hesitate to stop growth by limiting energy use to current levels, in order to save the planet from catastrophe? After all, the collective wisdom of the nation's leaders, and the scientific community all agreed that the science was settled, and disaster would befall the planet unless they held carbon dioxide in the atmosphere at 280 ppm.

  5. Today's collective wisdom of the nation's leaders want, not simply to stop the increase of carbon in the atmosphere, but to actually reduce it to levels that existed before 1990. This would require a roll-back of energy use of as much as 60%, according to some estimates.

  6. Using the value of a dollar in 2000 as a basis, per capita GDP in 1907 was $5,649, compared to $37,232 in 2005. This means that even with population expanding from 87-million to nearly 300-million over the period, the per capita GDP increased $4,512 every time the global mean temperature increased one-tenth of one degree.

  7. Had our current collection of national leaders been in power in 1907, they could have spared us this horrible fate. Ninety-two percent of the nation's households and buildings would not be puffing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, because they would not be using any electricity.

  8. There would certainly be no traffic problems in any of our cities, except, perhaps, dodging the exhaust from the two-and-four real-horsepower conveyances.

  9. On the other hand, some of us think that, even if humans caused every bit of the .07-degree increase in temperature (which they didn't), it was a very small price to pay for the magnificent progress that has been made since 1907. Some of us are happy that by 2001, life expectancy increased to 77.2. Some of us are thankful that the current crop of collective Washington leaders did not live in 1907. It is too bad that these people are now in a position to inflict their short-sighted ignorance on our children and future generations.

Kiwi Climatology  From Today's Wall Street Journal Asia   May 13, 2008  Under Kyoto, New Zealand committed to reduce its emissions to 1990 levels, in effect a 30% reduction from expected emissions in 2012.   ...   The cost, for farmers and industry alike, is likely to be prohibitive. The New Zealand Institute of Economic Research, an independent consulting firm, recently estimated that the government's plan would result in 22,000 job losses by 2012, or 1% of today's employment. That translates into NZ$4.6 billion ($3.6 billion) annually in lost GDP, or a NZ$3,000 cut in each household's annual spending.   Link

 

Billions wasted on UN climate programme   by John Vidal   May 26, 2008   Billions of pounds are being wasted in paying industries in developing countries to reduce climate change emissions, according to two analyses of the UN's carbon offsetting programme.   ...  

A working paper from two senior Stanford University academics examined more than 3,000 projects applying for or already granted up to $10bn of credits from the UN's CDM funds over the next four years, and concluded that the majority should not be considered for assistance. "They would be built anyway," says David Victor, law professor at the Californian university. "It looks like between one and two thirds of all the total CDM offsets do not represent actual emission cuts."    Link
 

Environmental Group Sues to Block Oil Refinery Expansion  by Susan Jones, Senior Editor at CNS News   July 10, 2008   An environmental group on Wednesday filed a lawsuit intended to stop the expansion of a BP oil refinery in Whiting, Indiana. A shortage of oil refining capacity is often mentioned as one reason for soaring gasoline prices.
 
The Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) is challenging air permits granted to the refinery by the State of Indiana. It’s part of the “ongoing fight against excessive pollution in northwest Indiana and Chicago,” the NRDC said in a news release.
   Link

Copenhagen Consensus 2008   Over two years, more than 50 economists have worked to find the best solutions to ten of the world’s biggest challenges. During the last week of May, an expert panel of 8 top-economists, including 5 Nobel Laureates, sat down to assess the research.   The ranked list: A prioritized list highlighting the potential of 30 specific solutions to combat some of the biggest challenges facing the world. 

  1. Combating malnutrition in the 140 million children who are undernourished reached the number one spot. ...  Providing micronutrients for 80% of the 140 million children who lack essential vitamins in the form of vitamin A capsules and a course of zinc supplements would cost just $60 million per year, according to the analysis. More importantly, this action holds yearly benefits of more than $1 billion.    Link
  2. Number two would be the Doha round of the World Free Trade Development Agenda. That is the expansion of free trade. Because free trade leads to economic development and that’s what the poor need more then anything else.      Link
  3. Micronutrient fortification (iron and salt iodization)   Link
  4. Expanded immunization coverage for children    Link

Twenty Ninth is Global Warming    The reason this is so low it that the costs far outweigh the projected good that comes from CO2 reduction.  Further, every dollar that is spent on fighting Global Warming can not be spend on these other actions.   Personally this is sad because fighting Global Warming is presented to us as saving the poor in the future.  Sadly, the dollars currently spent for this fight are killing and hurting the poor and children  right now since those dollars can't be spend on current needs.  Even worse things like Ethanol has run up food prices a great deal also starving the poor.

A Modest Sacrifice for the Climate   by David Warren  the summary of a Japanese study on the economic implications of the "global warming" fraud. Noting the goal, "seriously" stated by the Group of Eight, to cut world CO2 emissions in half by the year 2050, a couple of techies in Japan (Norichika Kanie of the Tokyo Institute of Technology and Yasuaki Hijioka at the National Institute for Environmental Studies) sat down with their calculators, and coolly worked out what emissions reductions will be required to meet this goal, on an equal per capita basis, around the planet.

The 88 per cent is the figure for North America. The Europeans get off relatively easily: they only have to shut down 83 per cent of their economy; the Japanese 85 per cent. Only 35 per cent of the Chinese economy will have to go.   Link

 

Conclusion