Theories
by Roger King
Table of Contents
- Introduction
- Chaos Theory
-
Ferenc Miskolczi's No
Runaway Warming Theory
Major New Theory Proposed to Explain Global Warming
by Michael Asher
August 14, 2007
Two of the great problems for the global
warming theory -- its inability to explain sudden climate shifts in the Earth's
past, and to explain why the Northern and Southern Hemispheres are so unequally
affected by warming.
A team of mathematicians have come
forth with a
startling new theory that solves both these problems. Led by
Dr. Anastasios Tsonis,
their model says the known cycles of the Earth's oceans -- the Pacific Decadal
Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, El Nino (Southern Oscillation) and
the North Pacific Oscillation -- all tend to try to synchronize with each
other.
The theory is based on a branch of
mathematics known as
Sychronized Chaos. The math predicts the degree of coupling to increase
over time, causing the solution to "bifurcate," or split. Then, the
synchronization vanishes. The result is a climate shift.
Eventually the cycles begin to sync up again, causing a repeating pattern of
warming and cooling, along with sudden changes in the frequency and strength of
El Nino events.
Better yet, their theory has
predictive power. The model predicts past shifts in the year 1913
(explaining the strong warming of the 20s and 30s), 1942
(resolving the post-WW2 cooling trend) and 1978 (covering our
current warming). The model predicts another shift to occur around the year
2033. Most shocking of all is their prediction for the year 2100 to be slightly
cooler than present day, despite the assumption of a doubling of atmospheric CO2
levels. Eye-popping indeed.
UVa scientist ties nitrogen to global climate change
by Brian McNeill May 16, 2008
In a study
to be published in today’s issue of the journal Science, UVa environmental
scientist James N. Galloway argues that reactive nitrogen is accumulating in the
planet’s soil, water and air at an alarming rate.
the
widespread use of nitrogen-based fertilizers and the burning of fossil fuels
have created large amounts of reactive nitrogen compounds, such as ammonia.
These compounds are contributing to global warming, atmospheric ozone depletion,
smog, haze, soil acidity, acid rain, fish kills, insect kills and respiratory
ailments, Galloway said.
The Epicycles of Global Warming by
James Lewis March 10,
2008
Well consider the fate of Ferenc M.
Miskolczi (pronounced Ferens MISkolshee), a first-rate Hungarian
mathematician, who has published a proof that "greenhouse warming" may be
mathematically impossible. His proof involves long equations, but the bottom
line is that the warming models assume that the atmosphere is infinitely
thick. Why? Because it simplifies the math. If on the other hand, you
assume the atmosphere is about 100 km thick (about 65 miles) -- which has
the big advantage of being true -- the greenhouse effect
disappears!
No more global warming.
Man-Made Global Warming Hoax Excerpts reprinted with permission from Tom Gremillion January 25,
2005 Studies have
shown that greenhouse gases produced by human activity accounts for around 1
percent of the gases in the atmosphere. The total elimination of human generated
greenhouse gases would have a negligible effect on Earth’s global mean
atmospheric temperatures. The elimination of all U.S. gasoline powered vehicles
would reduce worldwide “greenhouse” emissions by less than 0.2%.” What would be
the effect on global mean temperatures? None. Doubling of manmade greenhouse
emissions above current levels would increase the global mean temperature by one
degree Centigrade, which is within the normal range of temperature swings. It is the
fluctuations of the Earth’s orbit around the sun, volcanic eruptions, the
emission of gases by oceans and trees, all natural occurrences, that cause rises
and declines in global mean temperatures, i.e., “global warming” and “global
cooling,” not human activity. Satellite data
taken over the past 25 years indicate no surface or atmospheric warming. If
anything there has been a very slight cooling, on the order of 0.01 degree
Centigrade.
New
Theory of the Greenhouse Effect by Paul
at Jennifer Marohasy Blog March 8, 2008 NASA linked Ferenc Miskolczi is a
Hungarian atmospheric physicist who has published a new derivation of equations
governing the greenhouse effect which suggests "runaway warming" is impossible.
According to Miskolczi, NASA refused to publish the results so he resigned in
protest. The 40-page paper is entitled:
'Greenhouse effect in
semi-transparent planetary atmospheres'
Researcher: Basic Greenhouse Equations "Totally Wrong" by Michael Asher (Blog) -
March 6, 2008
"Runaway greenhouse theories
contradict energy balance equations," Miskolczi states. Just as the theory of
relativity sets an upper limit on velocity, his theory sets an upper limit on
the greenhouse effect, a limit which prevents it from warming the Earth more
than a certain amount.
How did modern researchers make such
a mistake? They relied upon equations derived over 80 years ago, equations which
left off one term from the final solution.
Miskolczi's story reads like a book.
Looking at a series of differential equations for the greenhouse effect, he
noticed the solution -- originally done in 1922 by Arthur Milne, but still used
by climate researchers today -- ignored boundary conditions by assuming an
"infinitely thick" atmosphere. Similar assumptions are common when solving
differential equations; they simplify the calculations and often result in a
result that still very closely matches reality. But not always.
So Miskolczi re-derived the solution,
this time using the proper boundary conditions for an atmosphere that is not
infinite. His result included a new term, which acts as a negative feedback to
counter the positive forcing. At low levels, the new term means a
small difference ... but as greenhouse gases rise, the negative feedback
predominates, forcing values back down.