UN and IPCC
by Roger King

Table of Contents
- Introduction
- IPCC 2007
Report
- IPCC 2001
Report
- IPCC 1995
Report
- IPCC 1990
Report
- Other
- IPCC
-
NIPCC Non Governmental International Panel on Climate Change
Why the IPCC Should
be Disbanded
by John McLean November
2007 The
role of the IPCC is defined in item 2 of its document "Principles Governing IPCC
Work", (online at
http://www.ipcc.ch/about/princ.pdf)
The role of the IPCC is to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and
transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information
relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate
change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation.
Link
Dishonest political
tampering with the science on global warming
by OnTheWeb: Christopher Monckton Monday,
December 10, 2007
For half a century we have been
measuring the temperature in the upper atmosphere - and it has been changing no
faster than at the surface. The IPCC knows this, too. So it merely declares that
its computer predictions are right and the real-world measurements are wrong.
Link
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) was established
by the United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) and the World
Meteorological Organization (WMO) in 1988 to assess the scientific, technical
and socio-economic information relevant for the understanding of human induced
climate change, its potential impacts and options for mitigation and adaptation.
The IPCC has completed three full assessment reports, guidelines and
methodologies, special reports and technical papers. For more information on the
IPCC, its activities and publications please see the
IPCC homepage.
The
IPCC has three working groups
-
Working
Group I: The Science of Climate Change
-
Working Group II: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability
-
Working Group III: Mitigation of climate change and a Task
Force on Greenhouse Gas Inventories
Commentary/Climate panel on the hot seat by H. Sterling
Burnett March 14, 2008
More than 20 years ago, climate
scientists began to raise alarms over the possibility global temperatures were
rising due to human activities, such as deforestation and the burning of fossil
fuels.
To better understand this potential threat, the World Meteorological
Organization and the United Nations created the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) in 1988 to provide a "comprehensive, objective,
scientific, technical and socioeconomic assessment of human-caused climate
change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation."
Nature, Not
Human Activity, Rules the Climate
by
Fred Singer with the Heartland Institute in 2008
The IPCC can trace its roots to World
Earth Day in 1970, the Stockholm Conference in 1971-72, and the Villach
Conferences in 1980 and 1985. In July 1986, the United Nations Environment
Program (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) established the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as an organ of the United
Nations. The IPCC’s key personnel and lead authors were appointed by
governments, and its Summaries for Policymakers (SPM) have been subject to
approval by member governments of the UN. The scientists involved with the IPCC
are almost all supported by government contracts, which pay not only for their
research but for their IPCC activities.
Each successive IPCC report forecasts a smaller sea-level rise.
James Hanson: "Climate Target is not Radical Enough
by Ed Pilkington, The Guardian, April 7, 2008. Commentary by
Christopher Monckton
Hansen started the “global
warming” scare during the hot Washington summer of 1988, when he presented the
temperature projections in graphs A-C below to the US Senate, based on a
computer model. The Senate duly panicked, and the IPCC was hastily established
that year. ...
Temperatures have risen since 1998 at a mean rate that is between one-half and
one-quarter of that which Hansen had projected only 20 years ago. Ever since
Hansen made this extreme projection, he has been attempting – with increasing
desperation and diminishing success – to justify it. However, neither his own
model nor the other models upon which the IPCC unduly relies predicted what has
actually happened in the real climate – The downtrend that The Guardian
somehow failed to mention: Since late 2001, the trend of global surface
temperatures has been firmly downward. “Global warming” stopped in 1998; and,
though it may resume in future years, the rate of warming is self-evidently less
than official forecasts had shown, and is very likely to be harmless.
Environmentalists Seize Green Moral High Ground
Ignoring Science
by
Dr. Tim Ball Friday, June
13, 2008 The
IPCC mandate was defined so that they only looked at human causes of climate
change, but generally the media and the public believe they are looking at
scientifically natural climate change in total. Rules guaranteed the message to
the media They created the illusion that open, peer reviewed science was being
practiced. They guaranteed the pre-eminence of the political message over the
science by writing a rule to release the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) before
the Science Report.
IPCC does not publish the name of the scientists that work on their reports
and will not provide them on request. Wonder why. It is they
are afraid of something. Maybe someone could poll those people to their
actual beliefs or find that the numbers were propped up. Beware of any
scientific group that will not provide scientists names or how they arrive at
their results, let alone publish their raw data.
Bitten by the IPCC by
Lawrence
Solomon, Financial Post March 23, 2007
In professional science, the
names of peer reviewers are kept confidential to encourage
independent criticism, free of recrimination, while the
deliberations of the authors being critiqued are made public.
"The IPCC turns this on its
head," Prof. Reiter explains. "The peer reviewers have to give their
names to the authors, but the deliberations of the authors are
strictly confidential." In effect, the science is spun,
disagreements purged, and results predetermined.
How UN
structures were designed to prove human CO2 was causing global warming
by
Dr. Tim Ball Wednesday,
April 30, 2008
Sir John Houghton, first co-chair of the IPCC and lead editor of the first three
Reports, signaled the objectives were political and not scientific. He said,
“Unless we announce disasters no one will listen ...
IPCC. Two thirds of the people
involved in the IPCC (1900 of 2500) are not climate experts and study what might
happen, not will happen. So the entire process was established to achieve the
goal of announcing (potential) disasters
AGW: Short on science, long
on religion by James
A. Peden at McQ
July 14, 2008
The UN IPCC has corrupted the "reporting
process" so badly, it makes the oil-for-food scandal look like someone stole
some kid's lunch money. They do not follow the Scientific Method, and modify the
science as needed to fit their predetermined conclusions. In empirical science,
one does NOT write the conclusion first, then solicit "opinion" on the report,
ignoring any opinion which does not fit their predetermined conclusion while
falsifying data to support unrealistic models.
Errors covertly
corrected by the I.P.C.C. after publication And Uncorrected Errors by Al Gore
by Lord Monckton of Brenchley March 2007
-
A 10-fold exaggeration in the effect of Melting
ice-sheets on sea-level rise
A mathematical error of addition caused a
tenfold exaggeration of the contributions of the melting of the Greenland
and Antarctic ice-sheets to sea-level rise. This error was missed by
2100 scientists because the table did not appear at all in the version of
the Summary for Policymakers that the Scientific Assessment Working
Group sent to governments for approval. The table was inserted by the IPCC
bureaucracy after the scientists had reached their conclusions on the
science.
A 20-fold exaggeration of the climatic effects of
rising CO2 concentrations
The 2,500 scientists of the IPCC
make the following alarmist statement, which has been widely and
uncritically quoted by journalists worldwide: “The carbon dioxide radiative
forcing increased by 20% from 1995 to 2005.” ...
This 20-fold exaggeration of the
increase in the radiative forcing effect of atmospheric CO2 has been quietly
removed from the revised version of the Summary for Policymakers.
Note that the IPCC’s
2007 report has reduced its estimate of the entire anthropogenic
contribution to climate change ...
it is legitimate to
deduce that about three-quarters of the 0.8C rise in temperature over the
past 100 years is attributable to natural causes
Dr Cullen Challenged to Justify Consensus
April 2008 The 2007
assessment review by IPCC has been required to reveal the numbers of
signatories, which turn out to have been less than a few dozen, all in the
employ of governments, as many of them non-scientific bureaucrats as
scientists. Even then, their findings have been grossly misrepresented.
Pseudoscientific elements in climate change research
by Arthur Rörsch February 16, 2008 In stark contrast to
the often repeated assertion that the science of climate change is ‘settled’,
significant new peer-reviewed research has cast even more doubt on the
hypothesis of dangerous human-caused global warming. But because IPCC working
groups were generally instructed to consider work published only through May
2005, these important findings are not included in their reports; i.e., the IPCC
assessment reports are already materially outdated.
Nature, Not
Human Activity, Rules the Climate
by
Fred Singer with the Heartland Institute in 2008
The latest
IPCC report, published in 2007, completely devaluates the climate contributions
from changes in solar activity, which are likely to dominate any human
influence.
The top end of the
U.N.’s new projection is about 30-percent lower than it was in its last report
in 2001.
Link
Sea level rise estimates cut in half in last 6 years (UN 2007 IPCC
Report)
UN Downgraded Man’s Climate Impact by 25% in last 6 years (UN 2007 IPCC
Report)
COMMENTARY/Climate panel on the hot seat
by H. Sterling Burnett March 14, 2008
The IPCC published its Fourth Assessment
Report in 2007 predicting global warming will lead to widespread catastrophe if
not mitigated, yet failed to provide the most basic requirement for effective
climate policy: accurate temperature statistics. A number of weaknesses in the
measurements include the fact temperatures aren't recorded from large areas of
the Earth's surface and many weather stations once in undeveloped areas are now
surrounded by buildings, parking lots and other heat-trapping structures
resulting in an urban-heat-island effect.
Even using accurate temperature data, sound forecasting methods are required to
predict climate change. Over time, forecasting researchers have compiled 140
principles that can be applied to a broad range of disciplines, including
science, sociology, economics and politics.
In a recent NCPA study, Kesten Green and J. Scott Armstrong used these
principles to audit the climate forecasts in the Fourth Assessment Report.
Messrs. Green and Armstrong found the IPCC clearly violated 60 of the 127
principles relevant in assessing the IPCC predictions. Indeed, it could only be
clearly established that the IPCC followed 17 of the more than 127 forecasting
principles critical to making sound predictions.
Climate
Change Forecasters on the Hot Seat by H. Sterling
Burnett at NCPA February 18, 2008
In a recent NCPA study, Kesten Green
and J. Scott Armstrong used these principles to audit the climate forecasts
in the Fourth Assessment
Report:
- They found that 127 principles
were relevant in assessing the process the IPCC used to project climate
change.
- The IPCC clearly violated 60 of
the 127 principles.
- Twelve additional principles
appeared to be violated.
- Another 38 could not be assessed
because there was insufficient information.
A Closer Look at Climate Change
by
Mark W. Hendrickson
May 25, 2009
A 2001
IPCC report presented 245 potential scenarios. The media publicity
that followed focused on the most extreme scenario, prompting the
report’s lead author, atmospheric scientist Dr. John Christy, to
rebuke media sensationalism and affirm, “The world is in much better
shape than this doomsday scenario paints … the worst-case scenario
[is] not going to happen.”
Clearly, the IPCC does
not speak as one voice when leading scientists on its panel
contradict its official position. The solution to this apparent
riddle lies in the structure of the IPCC itself. What the media
report are the policymakers’ summaries, not the far lengthier
reports prepared by scientists. The policymakers’ summaries are
produced by a committee of 51 government appointees, many of whom
are not scientists.
Commentary/Climate panel on the hot seat
by H. Sterling Burnett March 14, 2008
In a 2001 report, the IPCC published an
image commonly referred to as the "hockey stick." This graph showed relatively
stable temperatures from A.D. 1000 to 1900, with temperatures rising steeply
from 1900 to 2000. The IPCC and public figures, such as former Vice President Al
Gore, have used the hockey stick to support the conclusion that human energy use
over the last 100 years has caused unprecedented rise global warming.
However, several studies cast doubt on the accuracy of the hockey stick, and in
2006 Congress requested an independent analysis of it. A panel of statisticians
chaired by Edward J. Wegman, of George Mason University, found significant
problems with the methods of statistical analysis used by the researchers and
with the IPCC's peer review process. For example, the researchers who created
the hockey stick used the wrong time scale to establish the mean temperature to
compare with recorded temperatures of the last century. Because the mean
temperature was low, the recent temperature rise seemed unusual and dramatic.
This error was not discovered in part because statisticians were never
consulted.
Link
Link 2
Inadequacies
and criticisms of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
by Professor Bob Carter August 2006
During and after the preparation
of the 3AR, a number of meritorious scientists who were involved again began to
express their dissatisfaction with the process. And, in particular, with what
they saw as political interference with the preparation of IPCC reports.
In one such high profile case, on January 15, 2005, Dr. Chris Landsea, an
acknowledged world expert on hurricanes/cyclones, withdrew his participation in
IPCC. This decision was precipitated by the actions of IPCC Lead Author Dr.
Kevin Trenberth (under whom Dr. Landsea worked), who participated in a press
conference “Experts to warn
global warming likely to continue spurring more outbreaks of intense hurricane
activity”, despite having
been expressly briefed to the contrary by Dr. Landsea.
Global
Warming: The Other Side of the Story
by Tom DeWeese
(May 19, 2006) ...
when the printed report appeared in May
1996, it was discovered that substantial changes and deletions had been made to
the body of the report to make it conform to the Policymakers Summery.
Specifically, two key paragraphs written by the scientists were deleted. They
said:
1. "None of the studies cited above
has shown clear evidence that we can attribute the observed climate changes to
increases in greenhouse gases."
2. "No study to date had positively
attributed all or part of the climate change to …man-made causes."
Nature, Not
Human Activity, Rules the Climate
by Fred Singer with the Heartland
Institute in 2008
The 1995 IPCC report was notorious
for the significant alterations made to the text after it was approved by
the scientists – in order to convey the impression of a human influence.
Global
Warming Hypocrisy by
Henry Lamb Monday, February 5, 2007
The Second Assessment Report
was adopted by a fairly balanced group of participating scientists
in December, 1995. Then, the lead author of the report, B. D. Santor,
acting with the consent of the Co-chair of the Working Group, John
Houghton, and with the consent of the Executive Secretary of the
Framework Convention on Climate Change, Michael Cutajar - changed
the report significantly, without the approval of the scientists.
Bitten by the IPCC
by Lawrence Solomon at the Financial
Post March 23, 2007
In one of the IPCC's most egregious
errors, in its Second Assessment
Report chapter on human population
health, it created the scare --
repeated by scientists with a
popular following such as David
Suzuki -- that global warming could
lead to 80 million additional cases
of malaria per year worldwide. The
IPCC scientists' "glaring ignorance"
dumbfounded Prof. Reiter and his
colleagues. For example, the IPCC
claimed that malarial mosquitoes
cannot ordinarily survive
temperatures below 16C to 18C, not
realizing that many tropical species
do and that many temperate species
survive temperatures of --25C.
Likewise, IPCC scientists didn't
know at what altitudes mosquitoes
can be found.
Inadequacies and criticisms of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) by Professor Bob Carter
August 2006
Dr. Robert
Stephenson, a distinguished oceanographer with the U.S.
Office of Naval Research and NASA, and who from 1987-1995
was Secretary General of the International Association for
the Physical Science of the Oceans, expressed his views
thus:
“
Despite
the opposition of many signatory countries and their
scientists, the leaders of IPCC published (in their 1995
assessment Report) the phrase “the balance of the evidence
suggests that there is a discernible human influence on
global climate.”
“Even when exposed, the IPCC leaders claimed it was their
“right” to change scientific conclusions so that political
leaders could better understand the report.”
“To
the world’s geophysical community, these unethical practices
and total lack of integrity by the leadership of the IPCC
have been enough to reveal that their collective claims were
- and are - fraudulent
.”
Inadequacies
and criticisms of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) by
Professor Bob Carter August 2006
Some of the key statistics upon which
the IPCC relies for its arguments do not have their original data or methods of
calculation disclosed.
The Greenhousers Strike Back and Out
by Alexander Cockburn May 27, 2007
In this report a large number of
researchers work through hundreds of scientific reports and delivers a
comprehensive report where they conclude that there is no evidence that human
beings have had an influence on the climate. ... . But
what happened? The editor of the IPCC report then deleted or changed the text
in 15 different sections of chapter 8 (The key chapter concerning whether human
influence exists or not) which had been agreed upon by the panel of contributors
involved in compiling the document. ... . In this document
consisting of a few pages it is clearly stated that humans have influenced the
climate, contrary to the conclusions of the scientific report.
The unsound science behind "global warming"
by
Edward F Blick August 4, 2008
Sir John Houghton, the first chairman of
the UN’s IPCC stated: "Unless we announce disaster, no one will listen."
Here is the summary the scientists wrote for the 1995 IPCC Draft Report:
- None of the studies have shown
any clear evidence of climate changes due to greenhouse gases.
- No study has positively
attributed any climate change to anthropogenic causes.
- Any claims of positive detection
of significant climate change are likely to remain controversial until
uncertainties in the total natural variability of the climate are reduced.
The UN removed all three
of its scientists’ conclusions, inserting the following text in the final 1995
Summary Report for policy-makers:
The balance of evidence
suggests a discernible human influence on global climate.
Many of the IPCC scientists quit, and
threatened the UN with a lawsuit in order to have their names removed from the
IPCC final report.
Nature, Not
Human Activity, Rules the Climate
by Fred Singer with the Heartland Institute in 2008
The 1990
IPCC Summary completely ignored satellite data, since they showed no
warming.
Proved: There is no Climate Crisis at NZClimateScience
Mathematical proof
that there is no “climate crisis” appears today in a major,
peer-reviewed paper in Physics and Society, a learned journal of the
10,000-strong American Physical Society, SPPI reports.
Christopher Monckton, who once advised Margaret Thatcher, demonstrates
via 30 equations that computer models used by the UN’s climate panel,
the IPCC, were pre-programmed with overstated values for the three
variables whose product is “climate sensitivity” (temperature increase
in response to greenhouse-gas increase), resulting in a 500-2000%
overstatement of CO2’s effect on temperature.
Another Miss for the Modelers
by Chris Horner July 31, 2008
The IPCC and the models on which it
premises its version of reality are wrong on
rainfall.
They are wrong on
GHG concentrations
and behavior. Models are wrong on
Antarctica,
on Andean snowpack, on
Bangladesh,
on
ocean temperatures,
and wrong on the
Northwest Passage.
Roy Spencer’s research appears to have
affirmed
that models are demonstrably and fatally wrong on the threshold question of
climate sensitivity.
Skeptical
Scientists Urge World To ‘Have the Courage to Do Nothing’ At UN Conference
by
EPW Blog Tuesday,
December 11, 2007
UN IPCC reviewer and climate
researcher Dr. Vincent Gray of New Zealand, an expert reviewer on every single
draft of the IPCC reports since its inception going back to 1990, had a clear
message to UN participants. “There is no evidence that carbon dioxide increases
are having any affect whatsoever on the climate,” Gray, who shares in the Nobel
Prize awarded to the UN IPCC, explained. (LINK)
“All the science of the IPCC is unsound. I have come to this conclusion after a
very long time. If you examine every single proposition of the IPCC thoroughly,
you find that the science somewhere fails,” Gray, who wrote the book “The
Greenhouse Delusion: A Critique of “Climate Change 2001,” said. “It fails not
only from the data, but it fails in the statistics, and the mathematics,”
Greenpeace challenged
to prove need for carbon tax
Press Release: New Zealand Climate Science Coalition April 21, 2007
Owen McShane, chair of the
policy panel of the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition responding to a
statement Friday by Bunny McDiarmid, executive director of Greenpeace which
called for the immediate introduction of a carbon tax.
"There is no scientific
evidence that justifies a carbon tax," said Mr McShane. "All we
have is a scenario promoted by government funded scientists who
are part of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC), based on computer modelling that has been
slammed by many independent climatologists around the world as
lacking any scientific validity or credibility.
"People generally
seem not to be aware that the UN defines ‘climate change' as
only the effects of climate that result from human activity. It
ignores the natural drivers that have governed the global
climate for millions of years past. For reasons that have
everything to do with politics and nothing to do with science or
meteorological observations and records, the present Government
committed New Zealand to the Kyoto Protocol that even its most
ardent supporters admit will not reduce global warming,
Cow ‘Emissions’ More Damaging to Planet Than C02 From Cars (2006 UN
Report, Food and Agricultural Organization)
'Humanity's very survival' is at risk, says UN
by Lewis Smith, Environment Reporter
October 26, 2007
The speed at which mankind has used the
Earth’s resources over the past 20 years has put “humanity’s very survival”
at risk, a study involving 1,400 scientists has concluded. The
environmental audit, for the United Nations, found that each person in the
world now requires a third more land to supply his or her needs than the
Earth can supply. Thirty per cent of amphibians, 23 per cent of mammals and
12 per cent of birds are under threat of extinction, while one in ten of the
world’s major rivers runs dry every year before it reaches the sea.
Thirty
per cent of amphibians, 23 per cent of mammals
and 12 per cent of birds are under threat of
extinction, while one in ten of the world’s
major rivers runs dry every year before it
reaches the sea.
Conflicting
Theories of "Global Warming" by Geoff Metcalf March 17,
2008 Researchers have developed 140 principles that can be applied to a broad
range of disciplines, including science, sociology, economics and politics.
A recent National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA) study used these
principles to audit the climate forecasts in the Fourth Assessment Report:
- The NCPA found the IPCC clearly violated 60 of the 127 principles, or 47
percent relevant in assessing the IPCC predictions.
- According to the Washington Times, it could only be clearly established
that the IPCC followed 17 of the more than 127, or only 13 percent
forecasting principles critical to making sound predictions.
- To add insult to injury, the final draft of the IPCC 'work' was
co-written with political appointees and required their approval prior to
release.
'Humanity's very survival' is at risk, says UN
by Lewis Smith from The Times October 26, 2007
H. Sterling Burnett, a senior fellow with the NCPA, says the IPCC
recommendations are flawed and violate general forecasting principles.
"Sadly, Mr. Green and Mr. Armstrong found no evidence that the IPCC was even
aware of the vast literature on scientific forecasting methods, much less
applied the principles."
Global Warming Shakedown Begins by
Investor's Business Daily
November 27, 2007
United Nations, which released a green-themed Human Development Report …
can claim that floods, droughts and other climate-related disasters "could
stall and then reverse human development," robbing millions of food, schools
and even shelter — unless, that is, rich nations pony up $86 billion by 2015
to help the poor adapt to global warming. Oh, and by the way, the U.N. says
$40 billion of that will have to come from the U.S. Of course, the U.N. will
oversee that money.
Brainwashing a
generation by Henry Lamb Monday, November 5, 2007 at the
Canadian Free Press (CFP) The major difference between the current,
lingering global warming hysteria, and the other predictions of catastrophe,
is the United Nations. The U.N. didn’t fully recognize the value of the
environment as a funding source until the 1972 Conference on the Environment
held in Stockholm, headed by Maurice Strong. By the time global cooling
shifted to global warming, the U.N. had created the United Nations
Environment Program, and international treaties on wetlands, and on
endangered species. Global warming was an idea that promised unlimited
funds. The 1992 Framework Convention on Climate Change, and the creation of
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change became the global institutions
for the collection and re-distribution of money. With this money came power,
the power to propagandize. Using the IPCC as the perceived “last word” in
science, the political arm of the U.N.’s global warming has churned out tons
of global warming propaganda, labeled as “official” scientific findings. In
truth, the IPCC’s Executive Reports use just enough science to flavor their
projections, and, following Stephen Schneider’s advice, “...ignore any
doubts” that participating scientists may have.
Spinning the Climate by Vincent Gray (Dr Vincent
Gray has been a member of the expert reviewers’ panel for all of the IPCC
assessment reports) September 27, 2007
The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) was jointly set up by the World Meteorological
Organisation and the United Nations Environmental Programme in 1988. It was set
up In order to :
- Assess available scientific information on climate
change: Working Group I
- Assess the environmental and socio-economic impacts of
climate change : Working Group II
- Formulate response strategies: Working Group III
- The second and third objectives depend heavily on the
first, which will be discussed here.
- The three Working Groups are made up of nominees of
the two sponsors, but are dominated by Government employees, or recipients of
Government finance. As Governments throughout the world have come to adopt
policies dependent on the belief that greenhouse gas emissions are causing
harmful effects on the climate, all of the Working Group members tend to be
supporters of this view. as are the "Lead Authors" of the Reports who are
nominated by them.
- Drafts of all the main Reports of the IPCC are
circulated for comment. Initially this was only to Government Environment
Departments, who then consulted with local experts and interested parties before
forwarding comments received. Nowadays, almost anyone can comment, provided they
tell the right story. There are three drafts of each Report, the third being
circulated only to Governments. There is evidence that some of the most
extravagant claims only appear in the Final Draft.
- The "Summary for Policymakers" arises because the
Governments that have sponsored the Report wish to authorize it and ensure that
it corresponds with their "Climate Change" policies. It is agreed line-by-line
by representatives of the Governments. It is drafted mainly by selected
scientists from the main Report, but it is sometimes not understood that they
are acting on orders, not as independent scientists. The "Summary for
Policymakers" is actually a "Summary BY Policymakers" as it is not just advice
to other policymakers, it is a summary approved by the policymakers themselves.
It is also a genuine consensus of their views, agreed by all of them, and it
does not necessarily coincide with the views of any of the scientists who
participate in the Report.
The Great Unraveling at IBD Editorials 02/05/2010
On Thursday, the U.K.'s Telegraph
reported that India was pulling out of the United Nations' Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change and forming its own agency to study global warming. Why?
Because the Indian government feels it can't depend on the IPCC's work.
And why should it? The concerns about
the IPCC's accuracy are justified. A day after India's announcement, the
Netherlands asked the U.N. to explain why the IPCC had said in its 2007 report
that 55% of the country was below sea level when the Dutch themselves have
reckoned that only 26% of the nation is that low.
This is the same IPCC that said in
the same 2007 report that the Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035 — though
there's no scientific study to confirm the claim. It was based on the hunch of
one scientist who expressed his opinion to a reporter.
The IPCC withdrew the assertion when
it became widely known that it was bogus. But if the panel hadn't been called
out, we suspect it would have kept mum.
C02 Global
Warming’s IPCC-created Hobglobin by Dr. Tim Ball April 6, 2009
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate
Change
(IPCC) is responsible for providing the hobgoblin of global warming. They claim
CO2 is almost the sole cause of warming while effectively ignoring the sun.
Their claim that the sun is of little consequence is unbelievable and only a
measure of their deception and lousy science. They only looked at one part of
solar influence on weather and climate and didn’t do that accurately. Instead
they used it to support their claim the temperature changes are not caused by
the sun and therefore must be due to CO2. They only considered irradiance (heat
and light) and concluded, incorrectly, it was of little consequence. They
assume, because the variation is approximately 0.1% over approximately a 30-year
period, it is of
little consequence.
The number certainly seems small when
expressed as a percentage of 100. However, it is estimated that only a 6%
variation is sufficient to explain all known temperature variation in the
history of the Earth. So 0.1% is significant in relation to 6%. To put this in
context consider how much the temperature drops between night and day or even
for the brief period of a total eclipse. As
solar and climate scientist Willie Soon
said, “We have known for 80
years that even small changes in solar radiation have a strong effect on Earth’s
temperature and climate.”
The IPCC do not include changes in
sun/earth relationships collectively called the
Milankovitch effect,
a major cause of temperature change.
They ignore the high correlation
between sunspots and global temperature which has a warmer Earth with many
sunspots and colder with fewer. They claimed, legitimately, you must not assume
cause and effect. However, they made the illegitimate claim there was no
mechanism and the research was not produced in time to meet their deadline for
inclusion. Both claims are wrong. A proposed mechanism first appeared in Science
in 1991 when Christensen and Lassen published “Length of the Solar Cycle: An
indicator of solar activity closely associated with Climate.” Since then several
articles appeared elaborating on the mechanism, most before the IPCC deadline.
Why did they ignore it? Likely because it showed the sun explained temperature
changes.
Climate
Change: Breaking the "Political Consensus" by Andrew G.
Marshall August 7, 2008
In July
of 2008, a major peer-reviewed journal of the American Physical Society,
Physics and Society, concluded that the UN Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) report “overstated” the effects of CO2 on temperature in
their climate models by between 500 and 2000%. The paper concluded that there is
no “climate crisis.” The paper further reported that CO2 will add “little more
than 1°F
(O.6°C)
to global mean surface temperature by 2100;” that the IPCC report took their
predictive information from four published papers, not 2,500, as was claimed;
that “global warming” stopped ten years ago; the IPCC overstated the “effect of
ice-melt by 1000%”; that 50 years ago, it was proved that “predicting climate
more than two weeks ahead is impossible”; and that an important factor in
explaining the previous warming was that, “In the past 70 years the Sun was more
active than at almost any other time in the last 11,400 years.”
Link
Climate Change
Forecasters on the Hot Seat by H. Sterling Burnett
at NCPA February 18, 2008
Bob Carter, of the Marine Geophysical
Laboratory at James Cook University, tested the ability of the general
circulation models (GCMs) developed by IPCC scientists to predict global
warming. Carter found that the GCMs did incorporate “some basic principles of
physics,” but relied too heavily on “educated guesses” because knowledge of
climate change is incomplete. He determined that:
- “The GCMs failed to predict
recent global average temperatures as accurately as fitting a simple curve
to the historical data and extending it into the future.”
- “The models forecast greater
warming at higher altitudes in the tropics, when the greatest warming has
occurred at lower altitudes and at the poles.”
- “Furthermore, individual models
have produced widely different forecasts from the same initial conditions,
and minor changes in their assumptions can produce forecasts of global
cooling.”
IPCC Temperature Projections Challenged as 3-Fold Exaggeration
at the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition January 3, 2008
In a move that could mark a significant
turning point in the history of the greenhouse warming debate, Viscount
Christopher Monckton and Dr David Evans produced a document with a mathematical
proof that the IPCC have overestimated the effect of greenhouse forcings by as
much as threefold. ...
There are thousands of
scientific papers related to climate change and greenhouse gases, almost all of
which assume that CO2 and other greenhouse gases have a significant effect on
temperature. The Monckton and Evans paper attacks the most central point
underlying all the others. They used the Stefan–Boltzmann equation, and another
method, to show that the IPCC is exaggerating the effect of CO2 on global
temperatures.
Climate
Change Forecasters on the Hot Seat by H. Sterling
Burnett February 18, 2008
In 1988, the World Meteorological
Organization and the United Nations Environment Program created the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in order to study and better
understand this potential threat. The IPCC’s mission was to provide a
“comprehensive, objective, scientific, technical and socio-economic assessment
of human-caused climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation
and mitigation.”
The ice-core man
by Lawrence
Solomon, Financial Post May 04, 2007
Ice, the IPCC
believes, precisely preserves the ancient air, allowing for
a precise reconstruction of the ancient atmosphere. For this
to be true, no component of the trapped air can escape from
the ice. Neither can the ice ever become liquid. Neither can
the various gases within air ever combine or separate.
This perfectly closed system, frozen in time, is a fantasy.
"Liquid water is common in polar snow and ice, even at
temperatures as low as -72C," Dr. Jaworowski explains, "and
we also know that in cold water, CO2 is 70 times more
soluble than nitrogen and 30 times more soluble than oxygen,
guaranteeing that the proportions of the various gases that
remain in the trapped, ancient air will change. Moreover,
under the extreme pressure that deep ice is subjected to --
320 bars, or more than 300 times normal atmospheric pressure
-- high levels of CO2 get squeezed out of ancient air."
Because of these various properties
in ancient air, one would expect that, over time, ice cores that started off
with high levels of CO2 would become depleted of excess CO2, leaving a fairly
uniform base level of CO2 behind. In fact, this is exactly what the ice cores
show.
...
it varied between 260 parts per million
and 264 parts per million.
Inadequacies and criticisms of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) by Professor Bob Carter,
James Cook University, Townsville, Australia August 2006
- In fact, the IPCC uses a concept of peer review that
differs greatly from the commonly understood meaning of the term. The problem
has been well summarized by von Storch (2005), who writes: "The IPCC has failed
to ensure that the assessment reports, which shall review the existing published
knowledge and knowledge claims, should have been prepared by scientists not
significantly involved in the research themselves. Instead, the IPCC has chosen
to invite scientists who dominate the debate about the considered issues to
participate in the assessment. This was already in the Second Assessment Report
a contested problem, and the IPCC would have done better in inviting other,
considerably more independent scientists for this task. Instead, the IPCC has
asked scientists like Professor Mann to review his own work. This does not
represent an "independent" review."
- Other scientists who have participated in IPCC
review procedures have complained that it is corrupted by: a failure to
incorporate valid critical comments made by some expert reviewers; chaotic
editorial techniques, which have included the preparation and release of a new
draft report whilst its first draft was still being reviewed; in the final
stage of review of a Summary for Policymakers, incorporating changes desired by
government bureaucrats without recourse to expert scientific assessment; and an
inadequate and dismissive attitude towards informed criticism.
-
Some of
the key statistics upon which the IPCC relies for its arguments do not have
their original data or methods of calculation disclosed.
The IPCC: As
good as it gets by Professor Martin
Parry Co-chair, IPCC Working Group II
November 13, 2007
The IPCC is not, as some believe, a group of
scientists, but a panel set up by the United Nations comprising representatives
from about 140 governments to consider what we currently know about climate
change. The panel decides whether an assessment is needed, and then engages
scientists to conduct it. Since its establishment in 1987, there have been four
such major assessments, published roughly every five years (1990, 1995, 2001 and
2007), sprinkled with occasional special reports on specific topics.
Link
The IPCC goes looking
for bad news
by Rob Lyons April 23, 2007
Aynsley
Kellow, the head of the School of Government at the University of Tasmania who
was recently involved in contributing to the latest IPCC report. …
There seems
to be a contradiction in the IPCC’s thinking. It believes developing countries
will experience potentially enormous growth rates over the next 100 years - yet
it treats these countries as being just as vulnerable to droughts, floods and so
on as if they were trying to tackle the symptoms of climate change in their
present poverty-stricken condition. Either the IPCC has overestimated the
growth, in which case climate change is likely to be less severe – or it has got
the growth rates right (and certainly a 30-fold increase in output in the Third
World would be welcome) and these countries will therefore be more likely to
have the resources to cope with climatic change. Even if the growth rates are
overstated, the countries worst-affected, according to this latest report, will
still be in a very different position from today. As the policy analyst Indur
Goklany notes in a wide-ranging critique of the IPCC’s April report, not only
will these countries be richer than today; they will also benefit from the
cheapening of current technologies and the creation of new ones.
Bitten by the IPCC
by Lawrence
Solomon, Financial Post March 23, 2007
- Prof. Reiter heads the Insects and Infectious Disease
Unit at the Pasteur Institute … the U.S. State Department in 2001, upon the
recommendation of its own health authorities, nominated Prof. Reiter to be a
lead author of the IPCC's next health chapter. However, the IPCC choose two
other scientists who at the time of their selection, neither was distinguished
by having published peer-reviewed articles dealing with mosquito-born disease.
- "I know of no major scientist with any long record in
this field who agrees with the pronouncements of the alarmists at the IPCC,"
states Prof. Reiter, whose history in his research field spans three decades and
five continents, and who is well familiar with the scope of work occurring in
the mosquito-borne research community.
- In one of the IPCC's most egregious errors, in its
Second Assessment Report chapter on human population health, it created the
scare -- repeated by scientists with a popular following such as David Suzuki --
that global warming could lead to 80 million additional cases of malaria per
year worldwide.
- The IPCC
claimed that malarial mosquitoes cannot ordinarily survive temperatures
below 16C to 18C, not realizing that many tropical species do and that many
temperate species survive temperatures of --25C. Likewise, IPCC scientists
didn't know at what altitudes mosquitoes can be found.
- Even the peer-review process -- ordinarily designed to
ensure rigorous science -- has mutated to meet IPCC needs. In professional
science, the names of peer reviewers are kept confidential to encourage
independent criticism, free of recrimination, while the deliberations of the
authors being critiqued are made public. "The IPCC turns this on its head,"
Prof. Reiter explains. "The peer reviewers have to give their names to the
authors, but the deliberations of the authors are strictly confidential." In
effect, the science is spun, disagreements purged, and results predetermined.
- How do such people become numbered among the IPCC's
famed "2,500 top scientists" from around the world? Prof. Reiter, wanting to
know, wrote the IPCC with a series of detailed questions about its
decision-making process. It replied: "The brief answer to your question below is
'governments.' It is the governments of the world who make up the IPCC, define
its remit and direction. The way in which this is done is defined in the IPCC
Principles and Procedures, which have been agreed by governments." When Prof.
Reiter checked out the "principles and procedures," he found "no mention of
research experience, bibliography, citation statistics or any other criteria
that would define the quality of 'the world's top scientists.'"
What is Wrong with the IPCC?
by Hans Labohm November 2007
In the international discussion about climate change, which is now going on for
almost twenty years, the IPCC has played a questionable role. From its
inception, is has almost exclusively focused on the AGW hypothesis, while
systematically ignoring alternative hypotheses. Some main points of criticism
of the IPCC include:
- The hypothesis that an increased CO2 concentration in
the atmosphere will lead to a rise in temperature has not been proven and is
even at odds with the observations.
- Satellite-based temperature measurements show that the
earth has warmed a few tenths of a degree Celsius between 1979 and 1998. It is
not likely that this is caused by mankind.
- There is still a lack of scientific understanding,
required to model all assumed radiative forcings. The most important one, for
which there are not sufficient quantitative data to date, is the variable impact
of clouds.
- Climate models, which are being used to achieve a
better understanding of the climate system, are not suited to serve as basis for
predictions. This is, inter alia, related to the stochastic nature of
climate.
- The global climate is very much determined by
extra-terrestrial phenomena, of which the fluctuation of sun activity is the
most important.
- Should there still be global warming in the future,
for which there are only model based indications, then mankind will not be able
to do something about it. Moreover, also according the IPCC, a modest additional
warming (e.g., of 2 degrees Celsius) will on balance be beneficial for mankind.
- The IPCC has ignored the climate projections of
astrophysicists, which suggest global cooling.
- The advent of climate alarmism, fuelled by statements
of many prominent politicians and the media, has no scientific justification.
Many catastrophic consequences of climate change, such as floods and extreme
weather events, have been predicted, which are not based on scientific
knowledge. Especially the European governments have opted for a climate policy
which is completely unrealistic and results in a massive waste of scarce
resources. Finally, one should not discount the possibility that the average
global temperature will fall considerably in the near future. This might have
harmful implications, as opposed to a modest rise of temperatures, which on
balance will have positive effects.
No consensus on IPCC's level of ignorance
by John Christy
Professor of
Atmospheric Science, University of Alabama 11/13/07
Christy is one of the lead IPCC authors.
- The political process begins
with the selection of the Lead Authors because they are nominated by their own
governments.
- Dr. Christy remembers hearing a conversation with 3
other authors of IPCC report that basically said
"We
must write this report so strongly that it will convince the US to sign the
Kyoto Protocol."
- The tendency to succumb to
group-think and the herd-instinct (now formally called the "informational
cascade") is perhaps as tempting among scientists as any group because we, by
definition, must be the "ones who know" The tendency to succumb to group-think
and the herd-instinct (now formally called the "informational cascade") is
perhaps as tempting among scientists as any group because we, by definition,
must be the "ones who know"
- To me, the elevation of climate models to the status
of definitive tools for prediction has lead to the temptation to be
over-confident. Many scientists (ie the mere mortals) have been captivated
by an IPCC image in which the actual global surface temperature curve for
the 20th Century is overlaid on a band of model simulations of temperature
for the same period. However, there is a fundamental flaw with this
thinking. You see, every modeler knew what the answer was ahead of time.
(Those groans you just heard were the protestations of my colleagues in the
modeling community - they know what's coming). In my view, on the other
hand, this persuasive image is not a scientific experiment at all. The
agreement displayed is just as likely to do with clever software engineering
as to the first principles of science. The proper and objective experiment
is to test model output against quantities not known ahead of time.
- Mother Nature is incredibly
complex, and to think we mortals are so clever and so perceptive that we can
create computer code that accurately reproduces the millions of processes that
determine climate is hubris (think of predicting the complexities of clouds).
- The global warming theory is the advance guard of a
political movement that would subject the governance of the world's economy to
the tender mercies of the United Nations. It would impose Marxism on the entire
globe, destroying national sovereignty and wreck the world's economy.
2,500 scientists say they subscribe to the
government concept of global warming.
Is
'global warming' hot air?
by Geoff Metcalf May 07, 2000
However, that is not really true. You hear about 2,500
scientists who worked on this report for the United Nations. First of all, the
number is less than 2,000 and secondly, of these, perhaps 100 are qualified to
say something about the climate -- and they have never been polled. We don't
know whether they agree with the main conclusion or not. I would say a handful
does agree with the main conclusions of the U.N. report, but, many of them do
not.
The UN Climate Change
Numbers Hoax by
Tom Harris: John McLean
December 14, 2007
The numbers of scientist reviewers involved in WG I is
actually less than a quarter of the whole, a little over 600 in total. A total
of 308 reviewers commented on the SOR, but only 32 reviewers commented on more
than three chapters and only five reviewers commented on all 11 chapters of the
report. Only about half the reviewers commented more than one chapter. In
total, only 62 scientists reviewed the chapter in which this statement appears,
the critical chapter 9, “Understanding and Attributing Climate Change”. Of the
comments received from the 62 reviewers of this critical chapter, almost 60% of
them were rejected by IPCC editors. And of the 62 expert reviewers of this
chapter, 55 had serious vested interest, leaving only seven expert reviewers who
appear impartial.
IPCC makes no predictions
- In fact there are no predictions by IPCC at all. And there never have been.
The IPCC instead proffers “what if” projections of future climate that
correspond to certain emissions scenarios. There are a number of assumptions
that go into these emissions scenarios. They are intended to cover a range of
possible self consistent “story lines” that then provide decision makers with
information about which paths might be more desirable. But they do not consider
many things like the recovery of the ozone layer, for instance, or observed
trends in forcing agents. There is no estimate, even probabilistically, as to
the likelihood of any emissions scenario and no best guess.
Link
Even if the projections are based on
model results that provide differences of the future climate relative to that
today. None of the models used by IPCC are initialized to the observed state and
none of the climate states in the models correspond even remotely to the current
observed climate. In particular, the state of the oceans, sea ice, and soil
moisture has no relationship to the observed state at any recent time in any of
the IPCC models. There is neither an El Niño sequence nor any Pacific Decadal
Oscillation that replicates the recent past.
Link
IPCC wants no decent
- Kevin Hennessy, a lead scientist with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC), said yesterday that media attention on “the view of a handful of
climate change sceptics” amplifies their opinions and “implies that there is
little agreement about the basic facts of global warming”. Hennessy is also
with the marine and atmospheric division of Australian government research body,
CSIRO. Speaking in a session about climate change reporting, he said editors
and journalists have a duty to ensure that facts are presented in context.
Balanced reporting, he said, “perpetuates the public’s perception that
scientists are in disarray, which is misleading in the case of climate change”.
Climate reporting “too balanced” say scientists by Daniela
Hirschfeld at SciDev.Net Thursday, 19 April 2007
“Many of the so-called ‘hundreds’ of scientists who
have been affiliated with the UN as ‘expert reviewers’ are in fact climate
skeptics,” Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla., notes. “Skeptics like Virginia State
Climatologist Dr. Patrick Michaels, Alabama State Climatologist Dr. John
Christy, New Zealand climate researcher Dr. Vincent Gray, former head of the
Geological Museum at the University of Oslo, Tom V. Segalstad, and MIT’s Dr.
Richard Lindzen have served as IPCC ‘expert reviewers’ but were not involved in
writing the alarmist Summary for Policymakers.”
The United Nation IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report
(2007), which gave a figure of "90% likely" man was having an impact on world
temperatures. But does the IPCC represent a consensus view of world scientists?
Despite media claims of "thousands of scientists" involved in the report, the
actual text is written by a much smaller number of "lead authors." The
introductory "Summary for Policymakers" -- the only portion usually quoted in
the media -- is written not by scientists at all, but by politicians, and
approved, word-by-word, by political representatives from member nations. By
IPCC policy, the individual report chapters -- the only text actually written by
scientists -- are edited to "ensure compliance" with the summary, which is
typically published months before the actual report itself.
Dr. Vincent Grey – ”The IPCC Chapter on
Sea Level is one of the more dishonest. It practices two important deceptions.
First, it completely fails to mention the fact that many tide gauges are
situated close to cities where the land is subsiding because of erection of
heavy buildings, or removal of ground water, oil and minerals. It so happens
that the island of Hawaii is one of the more heavily populated Pacific islands
where the sea level is "rising" because the land is "falling" Another reason for
upwards bias is Port Adelaide, Australia, where they decided to increase the
water level in the harbour to allow for larger ships, They dredged and built a
bar on the harbour. Unsurprisingly, the level rose on the tide-gauge.
Corrections for these upwards biases in tide-gauge measurements have never been
permitted to be discussed by the IPCC.
Dr. Vincent Grey – ”The other deception
of the IPCC Sea Level Chapter is in statistics. The sea level averages are so
inaccurate that they have to supply only one standard deviation as a measure of
inaccuracy, instead of the otherwise universal use of two standard deviations.
One standard deviation gives only a one in three chance that the measurement
lies outside the limits. Two standard deviations puts it up to one in twenty. If
you use the proper figures you find that the accuracy sometimes permits a less
than one in twenty chance of a sea level fall. That must never be allowed This
whole melancholy story is told in an article in "Science" 2006 Volume 312, pages
734 to 736, It seems that the Greenpeace organization is now occupying the role
of the late Trofim Lysenko in their ability to reverse the findings of
scientific research .
IPCC has a policy requiring them to make all
expert and government review comments available under the following terms:
All written expert, and government review comments will be made available to
reviewers on request during the review process and will be retained in an open
archive in a location determined by the IPCC Secretariat on completion of the
Report for a period of at least five years.
http://www.ipcc.ch/about/app-a.pdf
Cunning IPCC Bureaucrats
by Steve McIntyre May 21st, 2007 Link
On 2 February 2007, the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published a summary of a report due to come out
in three months’ time (1). Events surrounding it show how far both the
professional drafting and media interpretation of science have become infused
with today’s anti-humanist politics. Politically spun and politically
interpreted, science is first made incontrovertible and put on a pedestal;
turned, in a word, into scientism. Then, science is used to close down
political debate. Finally, it is said to confirm the folly, hubris, selfishness
and general dirtiness of mankind. Whatever our pretensions, we are now supposed
to be pretty loathsome compared with the grandeur of the polar ice caps that now
face ruin at our hands. And, in the same spirit, what mankind could really be
doing with technology becomes trivialized.
A man-made morality tale by
Woudhuysen and Kaplinsky
02/05/2007
Link
An IPCC reviewer does not assess the IPCC’s
comprehensive findings. He might only review one small part of one study that
later becomes one small input to the published IPCC report. Far from endorsing
the IPCC reports, some reviewers, offended at what they considered a sham review
process, have demanded that the IPCC remove their names from the list of
reviewers. One even threatened legal action when the IPCC refused.
Link
'Scientific consensus' not represented in the
IPCC documents: scientist The Hill Times, August
13th, 2007 LETTERS by Dr. Madhav L. Khandekar Unionville, Ont.
As
one of the invited expert reviewers for the 2007 IPCC documents, I have pointed
out the flawed review process used by the IPCC scientists in one of my letters (The
Hill Times, May 28, 2007). I have also pointed out in my letter that an
increasing number of scientists are now questioning the hypothesis of
GHG-induced warming of the earth's surface and suggesting a stronger impact of
solar variability and large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns on the
observed temperature increase than previously believed
In our audit of Chapter 8 of the IPCC’s WG1
Report, we found enough information to make judgments on 89 out of a total of
140 forecasting principles. The forecasting procedures that were described
violated 72 principles. Many of the violations were, by themselves, critical. A
list of the 72 violations of forecasting principles by the IPCC forecasting
procedures is provided on the Public Policy Special Interest Group Page at
forecastingprinciples.com. The many violations provide further evidence that the
IPCC authors were unaware of evidence-based principles for forecasting. If they
were aware of them, it would have been incumbent on them to present evidence to
justify their departures from best forecasting practice. They did not do so. We
conclude that because the forecasting processes examined in Chapter 8 overlook
scientific evidence on forecasting, the IPCC forecasts of climate change are not
scientific. Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists versus Scientific
Forecasts* by Kesten C. Green, Business and Economic Forecasting Unit,
Monash University July 10, 2007
DDT And Global Swarming by Investor’s Business
Daily | Posted Monday, July 23, 2007 4:30 PM PT At the U.N.'s global warming
summit November 2006 in Nairobi, the Associated Press cited Kenya as an example
of how "a warmer world tends to be a sicker world." The article said warming was
disrupting Kenya's climate and that "malaria epidemics have occurred in highland
areas where cooler weather historically has kept down populations of the
disease-bearing mosquitoes." However, in 1990, in fact, Kenya joined the
worldwide hysteria against DDT and outlawed the insecticide's use. That ban, not
global warming, has spawned the resurgence of malaria in Kenya's cooler regions.
The third, released in 2001, contained University of
Massachusetts geoscientist Michael Mann's famous "hockey-stick" graph purporting
to show an abrupt man-made rise in global temperatures. Mann failed to include
in his calculations the Medieval Warming Period (1100-1250) when it was warmer
than now and SUVs didn't exist, or the Little Ice Age of the 16th century. His
flawed results were exposed when two Canadian researchers, McIntyre and
McKitrick, attempted to replicate his study.
Link
The Second Assessment Report was adopted by a fairly
balanced group of participating scientists in December 1995. Then the lead
author of the report, B.D. Santor, acting with the approval of IPCC pooh-bahs,
changed the report significantly to enhance the emphasis on imminent doom,
without consulting the scientists on the panel. Dr. Fredrick Seitz, president
emeritus of Rockefeller University and former president of the National Academy
of Sciences, said: "I have never witnessed a more disturbing corruption of the
peer-review process than the events that led to this IPCC report. Nearly all the
changes worked to remove skepticism with which many scientists regard global
warming changes."
Link
NRSP cautions against relying on February 2 UN
climate report IPCC documents have a history of bias and
misrepresentation of actual science findings By Tom Harris, & Dr. Tim Ball
Natural Resources Stewardship Project Friday, February 2, 2007 Besides
questioning the legitimacy of releasing the Summary months before the release of
the report it is supposedly written to summarize, attention should also be
focused on situations in which lead authors of the Fourth Assessment Report are
using their own work, reviewed by scientists with whom they work closely, as the
primary support for conclusions of specific IPCC report chapters. The US
National Academy of Sciences Wegman Report (2006) highlighted how this lack of
independent review resulted in serious problems with the last WG1 Summary
(2001). Finally, it should also be recognized that the fact that many
scientists were involved in reviewing the Fourth Assessment does not necessarily
mean that these scientists agree with the report. For example, NRSP Allied
Scientist Dr. Madhav Khandekar was an official reviewer of parts of the document
that related to his specialty (extreme weather) and has revealed that the IPCC
ignored his comments. NRSP Science Advisory Committee member, Dr. Vincent Gray,
also an official reviewer of IPCC reports, speaks about his experience, "They
sometimes take notice of your comments. They don't take much notice of mine
because most of the time I don't agree with what they are saying.... It is not
like the scientific press where you are supposed to answer objections; they
don't bother to answer objections; they go their own way."
Predictions of Climate
- Posted by Oliver Morton on behalf of Kevin Trenberth Climate
Analysis Section, NCAR (Climate Feedback (The Climate Change Blog)
In fact there are no predictions by IPCC at all. And there never have been. The
IPCC instead proffers “what if” projections of future climate that correspond to
certain emissions scenarios. There are a number of assumptions that go into
these emissions scenarios. They are intended to cover a range of possible self
consistent “story lines” that then provide decision makers with information
about which paths might be more desirable. But they do not consider many things
like the recovery of the ozone layer, for instance, or observed trends in
forcing agents. There is no estimate, even probabilistically, as to the
likelihood of any emissions scenario and no best guess. Even if there were, the
projections are based on model results that provide differences of the future
climate relative to that today. None of the models used by IPCC are initialized
to the observed state and none of the climate states in the models correspond
even remotely to the current observed climate. In particular, the state of the
oceans, sea ice, and soil moisture has no relationship to the observed state at
any recent time in any of the IPCC models. There is neither an El Niño sequence
nor any Pacific Decadal Oscillation that replicates the recent past; yet these
are critical modes of variability that affect Pacific rim countries and beyond.
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, that may depend on the thermohaline
circulation and thus ocean currents in the Atlantic, is not set up to match
today’s state, but it is a critical component of the Atlantic hurricanes and it
undoubtedly affects forecasts for the next decade from Brazil to Europe.
Moreover, the starting climate state in several of the models may depart
significantly from the real climate owing to model errors. I postulate that
regional climate change is impossible to deal with properly unless the models
are initialized.
UN Scientist calls for abolition of IPCC
Dr. Vincent Gray has been a member of the UN IPCC Expert
Reviewers Panel since its inception
Link
- The whole process is a swindle, The IPCC from the
beginning was given the licence to use whatever methods would be necessary to provide "evidence" that
carbon dioxide increases are harming the climate, even if this involves
manipulation of dubious data and using peoples' opinions instead of science to
"prove" their case.
- I began with a belief in scientific ethics, that
scientists would answer queries honestly, that scientific argument would take place purely on the basis of
facts, logic and established scientific and mathematical principles. Right from the beginning I have had difficulty with this procedure. Penetrating
questions often ended without any answer. Comments on the IPCC drafts were
rejected without explanation, and attempts to pursue the matter were frustrated indefinitely.
Over the years, as I have learned more about the data and procedures of the IPCC I
have found increasing opposition by them to providing explanations, until I have been forced to the conclusion that for significant parts of the work of the IPCC, the data collection and scientific methods employed are unsound.
- Resistance to all efforts to try and discuss or rectify these problems has convinced me that
normal scientific procedures are not only rejected by the IPCC, but that this practice
is endemic, and was part of the organization from the very beginning.
Why the IPCC
Should be Disbanded by John McLean
November 2007 The
IPCC is not and never has been an organisation that examines all aspects of
climate change in a neutral and impartial manner. Its internal procedures
reinforce that bias; it makes no attempts to clarify its misleading and
ambiguous statements. It is very selective about the material included in its
reports; its fundamental claims lack evidence. And most importantly, its actions
have skewed the entire field of climate science. Over the last 20 years and
despite its dominance and manipulation of climate science, the IPCC has failed
to provide concrete evidence of a significant human influence on climate. It's
time to call a halt to its activities and here are ten reasons for doing so.
- The IPCC charter
emphasizes a human influence on climate, not climate in general
The role of the IPCC is defined in item 2 of its
document "Principles Governing IPCC Work", (online at
http://www.ipcc.ch/about/princ.pdf) The
role of the IPCC is to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and
transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information
relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced
climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and
mitigation. [my emphasis added]
-
Its participants are not impartial towards a possible
human influence on climate For this extract we
can see that governments can appoint participants to the IPCC but also that
those who already work with the IPCC can invite experts to join various working
groups and task forces.
- The IPCC promotes a self-sustaining
hypothesis of man-made warming Over time the IPCC reports have progressively
expressed more certainty that humans have significantly influenced climate.
A key plank for this increased certainty is the number of scientific papers
that are claimed to support this contention. This is nothing more than a
self-sustaining hypothesis promulgated by the IPCC. Here's how it
works. When an IPCC report expresses confidence in a human influence on
climate governments direct research funding into projects that will
investigate aspects of this claim. The research produces scientific papers
that support the argument. Like-minded experts, probably involved in similar
research, review those papers on behalf of journals that subsequently
publish the papers. The dominance of papers on those themes enables the IPCC
to say that the number of papers supporting the particular line of argument
is strong evidence for the claim.
-
The IPCC misuses the concept of a consensus to provide
misleading and false impressions. It is a fundamental principle of science that
support for a hypothesis means nothing because everything depends on whether the
hypothesis can be proved wrong. Settling an unresolved scientific matter is
normally done by trying to break various hypotheses and continuing until one is
found that cannot be broken, at which point the hypothesis is provisionally
accepted.
-
Many IPCC
report authors have vested interests
With the skewed
state of climate science many of these experts will have undertaken research and
written peer-reviewed papers with funding which is biased towards to the claims
of the IPCC. This research is clearly biased and the findings are likely to
reinforce the IPCC's claims of consensus, moreover this work has probably
enhanced the experts' reputations and enhanced their credibility for future
research projects. There is no way that these authors can be regarded as
impartial when they have so much to gain from the IPCC's reports.
-
The IPCC report authors are often also reviewers,
despite
the potential conflict of interest.
-
IPPC gives a misleading impression of the extent of
review and support for its claims
Over the years the
IPCC has shown a clear habit of making statements that are ambiguous or
misleading and making no effort to clarify them.
-
IPCC advances a very weak argument for a significant
human influence on climate
The IPCC bases its
claim about the human impact on climate on an increase in temperature, a
supposed correlation with increase in carbon dioxide concentration, the
distribution of warming and on a claimed need to include a "human" factor in
climate models in order that the models produce output which closely matches
reality. Not one of these points stands up to close scrutiny.
-
Its primary
conclusion was probably pre-determined Ethics and professionalism
How an organisation
deals with potential conflicts of interest, its respect for the abilities of its
workers, its co-operation with those workers and with external complaints says a
lot about the ethics and professionalism of the organisation.
Fallacies
about Global Warming by John McLean (a Climate
researcher a former advisor to Margaret Thatcher as UK Prime Minister) September
07, 2007 Link
- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
undertakes no research for itself and relies on peer-reviewed scientific papers
in reputable journals. There is strong evidence that the IPCC is very selective
of the papers it wishes to cite and pays scant regard to papers that do not
adhere to the notion that man-made emissions of carbon dioxide have caused
warming.
- The IPCC
reports are based on historical temperature data and trends, and the
attribution of warming to human activities relies very heavily on climate
modeling. The IPCC pronouncements have a powerful influence on the direction
and funding of scientific research into climate change, which in turn
influences the number of research papers on these topics. Ultimately, and in
entirely circular fashion, this leads the IPCC to report that large numbers
of papers support a certain hypothesis.
- Governments
appoint experts to work with the IPCC but once appointed those experts can
directly invite other experts to join them. This practice obviously can, and
does, lead to a situation where the IPCC is heavily biased towards the
philosophies and ideologies of certain governments or science groups.
- The IPCC implies that its reports are thoroughly
reviewed by thousands of experts. Any impression that thousands of scientists
review every word of the reports can be shown to be untrue by an examination of
the review comments for the report by IPCC Working Group I. (This report is
crucial, because it discusses historical observations, attributes a likely cause
of change and attempts to predict global and regional changes. The reports by
working groups 2 and 3 draw heavily on the findings of this WG I report.) The
analysis of the WG I report for the 4AR revealed that:
- A total of just 308 reviewers (including reviewers
acting on behalf of governments) examined the 11 chapters of the WGI I report
- An average of 67 reviewers examined each chapter of
this report with no chapter being examined by more than 100 reviewers and one by
as few as 34.
- 69% of reviewers commented on less than 3 chapters of
the 11-chapter report. (46% of reviewers commented on just one chapter and 23%
on two chapters, thus accounting for more than two-thirds of all reviewers.)
- Just 5 reviewers examined all 11 chapters and two of
these were recorded as "Govt of (country)", which may represent a team of
reviewers rather than individuals
- Every chapter had review comments from a subset of the
designated authors for the chapter, which suggests that the authoring process
may not have been diligent and inclusive
Errors covertly corrected by the I.P.C.C.
after publication and Uncorrected Errors by Al Gore by Lord
Monckton of Brenchley March 2007
- A 10-fold exaggeration in the effect of melting
ice-sheets on sea-level rise. The UN has now quietly corrected Table SPM-0,
and has relabelled it Table SPM-1
- A 20-fold exaggeration of the climatic effects of
rising CO2 concentrations
At a glance: IPCC report
BBC News - February 2, 2007 IPCC 4th Report February 2, 2007
Summary of IPCC findings.
(It should be noted even these figures are much lower than the
“Inconvenient Truth” claims)
- Global climate change is “very likely” to have been
human-induced, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has
concluded. Key Findings
- It is 90-95% likely that human activities are causing
global warming
- Probable temperature rise by the end of the century
will be between 1.8C and 4C (3.2-7.2F)
- Possible temperature rise by the end of the century
ranges between 1.1C and 6.4C (2-11.5F)
- Sea levels are likely to rise by 28-43cm
- Arctic summer sea ice is likely to disappear in second
half of century
- It is very likely that parts of the world will see an
increase in the number of heat waves
- Climate change is likely to lead to increased
intensity of tropical storms
New
U.N. greenhouse gas report should be viewed with skepticism
at the National Resources Stewardship Project May 3, 2007
The report ignores recent findings that
carbon dioxide (CO2), the gas of most concern in most schemes to ‘stop climate
change', cannot be a primary cause of the past century's modest warming because
atmospheric levels of this gas have not risen gradually as suggested by the
Antarctic ice core records. According to recent studies, including a thoroughly
peer-reviewed paper recently published in Energy and Environment, the CO2
records used by the IPCC are highly questionable at best and more likely based
on a fraudulent selection of the available data. More accurate and widely
distributed chemical measurements show that CO2 levels have been as high as, if
not higher than, current levels at various times in the past 200 year.
Nature, Not
Human Activity, Rules the Climate
by
Fred Singer with the Heartland Institute in 2008
T
he
initial organization took place at a meeting in Milan in 2003 ....
NIPCC is what its name suggests: an
international panel of
nongovernment scientists and
scholars who have come together to understand the causes and consequences of
climate change. Because we are not predisposed to believe climate change
is caused by human greenhouse gas emissions, we are able to look at evidence the
IPCC ignores. Because we do not work for any governments, we are not biased
toward the assumption that greater government activity is necessary.